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ARG

ARG confirms Obama lead

by: Hopeful

Mon Sep 22, 2008 at 01:54:59 PM EDT

ARG's poll of 600 likely voters in New Jersey finds Barack Obama getting 51% of the vote and John McCain getting 42%. As usual, the 19th Amendment helps out Obama here, as he leads 57-35 among women, but trails 44-50 among men.  
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Presidential Primary Numbers

by: Juan Melli

Tue Apr 03, 2007 at 02:11:55 PM EDT

ARG just a new poll of New Jersey primary voters.

American Research Group: (Mar 29-Apr 2)

Likely Democratic primary voters [unaffiliated]

    Hillary Clinton  37% [43%]
    Barack Obama     23% [20%]
    John Edwards      9% [9%]
    Joe Biden         9% [7%]
    Bill Richardson   6% [4%]
    Chris Dodd        2%
    Dennis Kucinich   1% [2%]
    Undecided        14% [13%]
I haven't found data from previous months so I can't say much about the trend, but I would have expected Clinton to be further ahead. The number in brackets is how the votes of unaffiliated "likely primary voters" breaks down.

Note - ARG has different numbers posted on their front page showing Edwards tied with Biden at 9%. ARG can't explain the discrepancy and someone is "looking into it." If this changes the above analysis, I'll post an update.

Update: ARG has updated their website with new numbers. Joe Biden and John Edwards are tied at 9%.

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