It sure takes a long time to get the final New Jersey numbers. When we last left the results election night, Obama led McCain in the unofficial count 57% to 42%, or 2.085 million to 1.545 million. The 2008 official election results are now available, and the final count is:
Barack Obama 2,215,422 57.27%
John McCain 1,613,207 41.70%
The winning margin was 15.57 points. Blue Jersey’s Poll of Polls predicted a 16.9 point win. Rasmussen’s final New Jersey poll was the most accurate, getting the result correct at 57-42, although it did have the advantage of being the closest to election day. Ralph Nader, I suppose, can be happy that his 0.55% led the third-party challengers and rounds up to 1%.
Frank Lautenberg 1,951,218 56.03%
Dick Zimmer 1,461,025 41.95%
There’s two interesting thing here. First, 10% of the Presidential voters did not bother with the senate race. Second, Obama did better than Lautenberg. The final margin of 14.08% was comparable to the average poll result of 15%.
Overall, the pollsters did well.