The 2012 cycle finance numbers are finally out for the second quarter of 2011, and I kniow you all have been waiting with bated breath for the news.
There’s only one race in New Jersey as of right now, and it’s a two-fer. But before we get to that, let’s look at the rest of the state.
Every incumbent is raising money, though some slower than others. Chris Smith (R-4) and Albio Sires (D-13) each raised less than $100K this quarter, but neither is really in trouble. There’s little talk that either of them could be districted out next year.
Scott Garrett (R-5) is the winner, pulling in a whopping $703,681for the
quarter first half of the year, outpacing the number two William Pascrell at $489,056 and Frank Lobiondo at $486,271. Updated: I give you the first half numbers because the FEC pages are not being helpful in parsing things out by quarter yet.end update
Those are the highs and lows, but the real interesting one right now is the 7th. Most folks out there suspect that the 7th will be the one to disappear. It’s the weirdest looking district, an easy win for the Republicans most of the time but recently got more Democrats registered than Republicans. It borders on Democratic districts (6, 10, 12 and 13) and Republican districts (5 and 11) into which it could be subsumed.
The 7th has also never made any sense at all, with the urban and hyper-Democratic east combined with the more rural and hyper-Republican west. more…