Tag Archive: 2008 presidential primary

Why Dick Codey and Others Should Stick With Edwards

UPDATE: Dick Codey announces he’s staying with John Edwards because he’s the right candidate for our time.  This had to be written and planned before Nevada since it was in this morning’s paper, meaning he agrees Edwards should go on regardless of last night’s outcome.

I back John Edwards, and want him to become President.  However, after he lost both NH and IA then polled four percent in Nevada yesterday the odds are incredibly long.  Anyone who is looking at this race pretty much has to admit that.

But neither Barack Obama nor Hillary Clinton is running away with this one.  It looks like the delegate race is really close, Hillary is leading national polls and Obama has some leads in important upcoming states.  There is a great possibility that this will result in a brokered convention with no nominee until then.

And that’s why, despite all the urging by Obama supporters, I still support John Edwards in the Democratic Primary and suggest that anyone who wants to see this party and its platform move to the left do the same.  Don’t abandon him on February 5 so you can be with the eventual winner.  

If you believed in his positions, in his fight, in his temperament, in his history, in his mission before he started falling behind then you have a chance to continue the fight for all these things by staying the course.  Even if you think Edwards can’t win, the things he and we stand for can if we don’t back down and do some bandwagon jumping on Feb. 5.

Is it a race or not in the New Jersey Democratic Presidential Primary?

There’s a new New Jersey poll from Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling.  For the Democratic Primary, the results from 421 Democratic or “lean Democratic” voters:

Hillary Clinton 45%
Barack Obama 21%
John Edwards 16%
Don’t Know 10%
Joe Biden 4%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Chris Dodd 0%
Mike Gravel 0%

“Someone else” and refused to answer got 1% each.  The margin of error is about 5%.

So can anyone but Hillary Clinton win the race here?  She is even ahead of her national numbers.  Back in March 2006, she polled 48%, so she is unchanged since then.  On the other hand, they did ask Clinton voters if they are “very sure about voting for Clinton; or might you change your mind before the primary?”  51% of Clinton voters (and 46% Democrats overall) are very sure, and 48% (52% overall) might change. That suggests to me that there is plenty of room for someone who runs a good campaign and wins in the early states to jump past Clinton.

But there’s no doubt Clinton is in a enviable position, and seems to be guaranteed to finish at least second even in the unlikely case she loses all her weak supporters.

My View of the Presidential Speeches. Part I: Chris Dodd

While Jay Lassiter and JRB were doing an amazing job with DNC Winter Meeting videos at blogger’s alley, I sat in the press section and watched the first crop of Presidential candidates.  You can see videos of the DNC speeches at democrats.org.  I urge you to sit and watch the candidates you’re interested in — I’ll try to tell you my perception of the events based on my notes.  (I decided to break this into separate diaries since it was too long.)  For disclosure, I have not decided on any candidate — I like Edwards and Obama the best, but in principle I want a governor with a record of success — but I have an irrational bias against Hillary Clinton that you can filter out.  Also, since I was too tired to go to Saturday’s meeting, those candidates (Biden, Richardson, Vilsack, Gravel) won’t be covered. Blue Jersey has no position for or against anyone.  So please feel free to advocate and organize for your favorite candidate, here or in your own diaries.  We hope to have all the candidates participate here. 

First of all, I’ve never been at anything like this.  It’s been a long time since I saw Jesse Jackson and George H. W. Bush in (separate!) rallies in 1988.  So I was totally psyched.  But I think that the whole room — indeed the whole meeting — was especially excited.  The victories in 2006, having the first woman speaker of the House, the knowledge that the public has rejected Bush and the Republicans, and the victories in the Mountain West and other ‘red states’ all add up to a rejuvenated party.  It was clear in the speeches, in the crowd, and in the caucus meeting that Democrats feel that at last it is our turn.  Almost every speaker promised universal health care in the first term, and praised Howard Dean and the 50 State Strategy.  Howard Dean said that the speakers were limited to 7 minutes, which no one obeyed,  and 100 signs or less, which everyone but Hillary Clinton followed.  They also got up to 30 seconds of intro music.  I had visions of Derek Jeter coming up to the plate with loud rap music blaring or Mariano Rivera and ‘Enter Sandman’ , but strangely enough, no one chose rap music or heavy metal.