NJ Superdelegate Switches to Obama

First of many (0.00 / 0)

as Clinton's desperation leads her to alienate even more people.

To hell with what she wants, let's make Rosi Efthim the next DSC chair.

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by: Thurman Hart @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 13:24:35 PM CST

Its over. (0.00 / 0)

HRC would need something on the order of 70% of all remaining pledged delegates to have a narrow victory at the end of the Primary process. I think Obama will have about a 280+ delegate lead by the last primary.

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

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by: FogerRox @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 13:35:56 PM CST

Not so fast (0.00 / 0)

Obama needs 772 to win, but Hillary only needs to pick up about 500 to deny him that possibility.  It's much easier to block his nomination than it is to win it.  Basically, if she picks up 1/3 of the remaining delegates, she'll keep him short of the magic number.

To hell with what she wants, let's make Rosi Efthim the next DSC chair.

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by: Thurman Hart @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 14:56:30 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Now, we're getting back to Oujia Board territory. (0.00 / 0)

Let's see what happens over the next couple of weeks.

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by: Creed Pogue @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 15:23:45 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Looks like includes supers (0.00 / 0)

I thought it was

1116-989 w/o supers, before NM.

I dont either candidate will get to 2025.

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

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by: FogerRox @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 17:10:22 PM CST

[ Parent ]

The Upcoming Debates Will Be Telling.... (0.00 / 0)

.....the nomination is Obama's to lose.  

If he copies Clinton's failed strategy of playing the cautious role of a "front runner" he'll blow it......and deservedly lose.  

Without being perceived as negative, aggressive or "ungentlemanly" he'll need to go toe to toe with Clinton on any and all policy questions that come up.....he doesn't have to score a "knockout punch"  (in fact a case could be made that that would be negative) unless she really says something blatantly stupid (not likely)......he just needs to demonstrate that he's as up on the details of policy and the underlying ideas/values as she is.    

This is a challenge Obama must meet head on to truly deserve the nomination.

Simply sitting on a lead and demanding that the Superdelegates endorse that lead isn't good enough to produce a winning candidate in November.

I want him tested and tempered in the crucible of a real series of productive/positive debates with Clinton.  

If/When he wins the nomination such a process will have only strengthened him.

Meanwhile; if anyone wants to join me in signing MoveOn's petition on the "Superdelegates"; here's the place to go http://pol.moveon.org/pac/supe... .

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by: Nick Lento @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 17:55:48 PM CST

He already did that (0.00 / 0)

Many pundits felt that Obama "failed" to score a knockout at the LA debate which was the first one with just the two of them.  It may have been that instead, like JFK, he just had to prove to be equal to the "frontrunner."  After all, even with the late NM results, Obama won more states, more delegates and more votes.

It really shows how desperate things are for the former "heir apparent" that she is calling for more debates which is the strategy of the one who is behind.

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by: Creed Pogue @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 18:47:27 PM CST

[ Parent ]

Delegate talk on KO (0.00 / 0)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

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by: FogerRox @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 22:07:53 PM CST

The defections continue (0.00 / 0)

http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

Its over.

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

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by: FogerRox @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 22:31:28 PM CST

John Lewis is a huge get for Obama (0.00 / 0)

Samuels may have started it, but Lewis' switching allegiance suggests the tide is turning.

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by: kwilkinson @ Thu Feb 14, 2008 at 23:37:39 PM CST

Obama (0.00 / 0)

really excites people.  I still can't get the picture out of my head of how many people brought their children to the Obama rally.  They really sensed we were witnessing a sweet moment in American history.  A moment they will be able to tell their great grandchildren about.  So many feel he will really unite us all - not just with each other, but with so many around the world who want to like us again.  We have had such a very long, sad decade, getting people to hope when they are in despair is no small feat.  I am disappointed though, that Hillary is trying to get the delegates from Florida and Michigan seated.  They knew the rules.  Many folks stayed home.  Unless they plan on redoing their primaries, seating Hillary's delegates from there would be cheating.

One Vote. Yours. It really does matter.

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by: carolh @ Fri Feb 15, 2008 at 08:55:44 AM CST