Eagleton
Stile, Roginsky, Hill, Dittmar, Ciattarelli - The Morning After convo at Rutgers Eagleton
Rapid-fire analysis of the 2018 Primary. Watch.
Michael Avenatti
Stormy Daniels’ lawyer, Michael Avenatti
The Fluffer.
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How did Moms Demand Action “Gun Sense” group end up looking like they back the same guy the NRA does?
Good question.
Let Us Be Part of the American Dream
Immigration Yesterday Today Tomorrow
There is nothing new in U. S. history about Trump’s anti-immigration policies.
Republican NJ Rep. Chris Smith
DCCC now has all 5 NJ Republican seats targeted for take-down
Chris Smith’s held his seat for 37 years. Dems now intend to take it away.

Latest Posts

Corzine/Forrester tied

New WNBC/Marist poll: Corzine 44%, Forrester 43%:

Jon Corzine and Doug Forrester are in a statistical dead heat among New Jersey voters likely to vote on Election Day.  Corzine receives the support of 44% of likely voters compared with 43% for Doug Forrester.  13% are undecided.  When undecided voters are asked which candidate they are leaning toward, the results become 47% for Jon Corzine and 45% for Doug Forrester.  8% of likely voters remain undecided.

UpdateOctober 10, 2005 at 20:34:02 EST by jmelli As several others have pointed out, this poll appears to be an outlier. Chris at MyDD also notes that the small sample size also makes the poll suspect, along with the unreliability of likely voter models weeks before the election.

Holt: not so coy any more

Rush Holt’s campaign office sent out an email today that contained the entire article in PoliticsNJ.com that Jenny mentioned earlier regarding Holt’s subtle courting of Corzine for his Senate seat.

At the end of the PoliticsNJ article, there is some skeptism about Holt’s chances:

“I don’t think people know him around the state, particularly in the party structure, like they do Andrews or Menendez,” O’Neil said.  “He’d have work to do.  And I’m not sure about fund-raising.”

Holt’s email refutes both of these points. First on the issue of name recognition:

As flattering as this article is, there are a couple of additional points worth making.  The first is that Rush’s name recognition around the state is strong.  According to a recent poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University, Rush’s “name ID” is better than most contenders, and second only to one by barely more than the margin of error.  Additionally, the people that know him have a favorable impression by a whopping 26 points.

Then, on his fundraising capability:

A second point worth addressing is the question about Rush’s fundraising.  Rush has proven that he can raise substantial sums when necessary.  In 2000, for example, he raised $2.6 million – with an average donation of roughly $200!  In every election, he has asked for donations only when needed, and has always run a frugal campaign.

The irony of this email is that while the content of the article was about Rush’s subtle attempts at wooing Corzine, it ends with a not so subtle plea to constituents to help him flex his fundraising muscles and prove himself capable of filling his campaign coffers.

He has been able to do that only through your support.  Won’t you consider contributing today to show the “chattering class” what Rush is capable of?

I’d love to see Holt become our next Senator, but one concern that isn’t addressed and that may plague him is the possibility of creating two competitive races if he were to leave his Congressional seat:

“I also think that the Holt scenario overlooks the fact that there will be significant national Democratic Party opinion expressed on this race,” said Tom O’Neil, a party strategist.  “And they’re going to look at Holt and say, ‘Wait a minute— now you’ve put a Senate seat in play and a House seat.’  That’s different than with Menendez or Andrews, who are from much safer House districts.”

This situation underscores the importance of contesting every race in order to train and build the farm team for future races.

Thanks for Inviting Me!

I would like to thank BlueJersey.net for inviting me to be a front page blogger! This will be a wonderful opportunity for all of us to share ideas, analyze the wonderful and crazy world of New Jersey politics, and hopefully increase activism in our State!

For those of you that don’t know me, I serve as President of Democrats 2000, New Jersey’s largest and most active organization for young, professional Democrats.

Check us out at Democrats2000.com!

Codey finally helps out Corzine

Though he said he would have a role in campaigning for Corzine, Codey has been relatively out of sight these past few months. Now, with Forrester closing the gap, Codey has said he’ll be recording a radio ad to support Corzine’s campaign:

Acting Governor Richard Codey says he will cut a radio advertisement in support of Jon Corzine’s campaign for Governor on Tuesday. Codey made the announcement to a group of Democrats assembled Saturday morning at a local campaign headquarters in West Orange. The Codey ad comes a week after Doug Forrester began airing a TV spot featuring former Governor Thomas Kean.

The bad blood between Corzine and Codey is being put aside as Corzine reaches out for help from the very popular governor to help boost his campaign:

In the survey, more than half (57 percent) of New Jerseyans believe Codey is doing a good or excellent job, compared with 8 percent who rate his job performance as poor.

“The governor maintains a ratio of favorable to unfavorable opinion which outpaces the favorable/unfavorable ratio of the Democratic candidate for governor,” Woolley said. “One wonders whether it’s Codey who has the coattails in this race.”

Look for Codey to take on a more active role until election day. Corzine could use the help, and Codey may be vying for the soon to be vacant Senate seat. After tasting the power of the governorship, it’s doubtful that he’s looking forward to a demotion to the State Senate.

NJ GOP’s Ethics Failure

We all learned about Doug Forrester’s ethics problems throughout the summer–from pocketing senior prescription drug rebates, to winning no-bid pay to play contracts for his prescription firm Benecard. It turned out that Doug Forrester was the beast he was criticizing.

This morning the Gloucester County Times reported that 4th District GOP Assembly candidate Clayton Police Chief Frank Winters used funds from the Police Department to enrich his personal business–and then failed to disclose them on NJ State ELEC forms…that’s right, the GOP Police Chief.

New poll confirms close gov race

A new poll out by Angus Reid has Jon Corzine leading Doug Forrester 45% to 38% – a 4 point gain for Forrester over the previous poll conducted in September that had Corzine up by 11 points: 47% to 36%. The shift was within the poll’s margin of error of 4.5%. The poll was conducted on Oct 4th and confirms several recent polls that showed Forrester narrowing the gap against Corzine, including one by Quinnipiac University that had Corzine leading by only four points. Polls by Monmouth University and Fairleigh Dickinson University both showed Corzine ahead by eight points.

UpdateOctober 09, 2005 at 17:34:29 EST by jmelli: A Star-Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers poll has Corzine ahead by just 7 points: 44% to 37%. Last month the same poll had Corzine up by 18 points: 49% to 31%. Most of Forrester’s gains come from Independent voters.

A 23-year old Democrat for Freeholder? Meet My Friend, Dana Wefer

(October Update)

Back in August I wrote about a friend of mine, Dana Wefer here online. Dana is a first-time candidate; at 23, she’s running for County Freeholder in Morris County, New Jersey (Freeholder is the NJ equivalent of County Commissioner, btw). She’s challenging Republican incumbent Margaret Nordstrom in a county that’s rather Republican (58-40% Bush in 2004). Nordstrom has used the power of incumbency to raise oodles of campaign contributions through play-to-pay contracts; Dana is a graduate student who’s been raising money from scratch. Nordstrom has been essentially invisible, preferring to avoid campaign events; Dana’s crisscrossed the county’s 39 towns and attended dozens of events since June. I would like this diary to show that no matter who you are or how old you are or where you’re from, you can still make a major impact in your community and your country. Dana’s been proving just that.

(Much more in the extended entry. If what’s above is enough to get you interested, go to http://www.danawefer.com to help out. Otherwise, read on…)

Do you know your commentator?

‘Propaganda’ tactic riles Democrats
Friday, October 07, 2005

ASSOCIATED PRESS

WASHINGTON — Democratic senators, including Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey, yesterday pressed for a criminal fraud investigation of the Bush administration’s hiring of a commentator to promote its agenda.

Congressional auditors concluded last week that the Education Department engaged in illegal “covert propaganda” by hiring Armstrong Williams to endorse the No Child Left Behind act without requiring him to disclose he was paid.

That review by the Government Accountability Office did not come with any penalty.

In a letter to Attorney General Alberto Gonzales, Lautenberg and Sen. Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.) said questions of fraud remain for the department and for Williams.

The department paid Williams, a commentator with newspaper, television and radio audiences, to produce ads promoting Bush’s law. Work orders show he also was to provide air time to department officials and persuade other black members of the media to discuss the law.

Yet the department provided the GAO with almost no evidence of the work that Williams cited in his monthly reports. In their own search, GAO auditors either could not find the work Williams listed or could not connect the work they found to his contract.

The deal occurred during the tenure of Education Secretary Rod Paige. His replacement, Margaret Spellings, has pledged stricter oversight of department spending.

Regardless of whether it is illegal, doesn’t the viewing public have a right to know that a commentator has a vested interest in supporting his or her view.  I am not naive enough to think that the large media outlets do not have their own interests, but shouldn’t the individual commentators on those networks inform the viewers of the basis for their support of the issue.  They may have supported the issue before they were paid to, but should the viewing public have the opportunity to know this?

I have seen title’s such as Democratic Consultant or Republican Consultant to describe someone.  How about paid operative responsible for promiting their position? I realize that this label could make people question the intentions of the speaker, but maybe they should be questioning the speaker anyway.

The Two Most Unfair Minutes of Your Day

This post was originally guest-blogged at Old Town Review Chronicles and recently re-posted at The Art of Gettting By. It is the first in a series of posts about health care costs and Medicare B.


The first two minutes of every hour you, and every American who has a job, work is dedicated to one specific government program – Medicare.  If you are self-employed, you pay the equivalent of four minutes of every hour for Medicare tax.  According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics that means one hundred forty million people will pay three percent of every penny they make to make sure that Medicare has enough money to provide health care for the aged, disabled, and dependent.  Even setting aside the fact that Congress has decided to cut ten billion dollars over the next four years, Medicare still qualifies as the most unfair tax paid by many Americans.

It is unfair because about three and a half million self-employed persons and well over fifteen million employees do not have health insurance for themselves.  Yet every week, these employees donate an hour and twenty minutes of their pay to providing someone else with insurance.  What could be more unfair than to ask someone to give up money they desperately need to provide a benefit they don’t receive themselves to someone they don’t even know?

Don’t for a minute think that it is only part-timers or teens working after school, either.  The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation released a statistical report earlier this year that debunks that favorite Republican myth.  In Texas, up to a third of all employees do not have health benefits.  Almost a fifth of the states have more than a fifth of their employees that are ineligible for benefits.  Somehow, I don’t think there are that many kids working after school.  If there are that many part-time workers; then our economy is seriously about to crumble.

Let’s not forget the kids, though.  In more states than not, employees with kids but without insurance outnumber employees with kids and insurance.  That puts a strain on the states’ Medicaid program – which provides insurance to poor children.  That, in turn, puts a strain on the states’ budgets.  That would normally mean that state governments take higher taxes from their citizens – but everyone knows that all taxes are evil.  So, what it really means is that money that should go to education and other vital programs are short-changed.  In other words, the pain gets spread around further, but not necessarily any thinner.


What makes it even more unfair is that it is totally unnecessary.  The federal government already runs a program that would alleviate this problem.  It’s the very same program these people are already paying taxes for but are barred from participating in.  It’s Medicare.  Medicare B is an HMO-like program where recipients pay a small monthly participation fee – currently around eighty dollars a month.  The government matches this at a rate of three to one to provide health insurance.  For those that don’t like “big gubment” running their lives, Medicare C offers buy-in to privately run HMOs for slightly higher costs.


If Medicare B were open for buy-in at full cost (paying all four dollars instead of just one); then a completely portable and cost-efficient basic medical coverage would be available to every American.  If this were enacted in conjunction with a one dollar an hour minimum wage hike, plus a tax incentive of equal value to small employers, the cost would be fully recovered by both employer and employee.  It still wouldn’t cover the cost of prescription medicines or hospitalization, but it would be a step in the right direction.  If existing insurance companies were allowed to compete through Medicare C; then competition will still work to keep costs down.


More workers covered, small businesses better able to provide benefits (which results in fewer missed work days and less job turnover), and more money flowing into Medicare.  Someone please tell me where there is a downside to this!  


Rather than tearing Medicare apart, what needs to be done is to expand it.  Insurance works best when very large groups exist to defray average costs.  What group can possibly be bigger than the entire population of the United States?  (Okay – technically, the world’s population, but that is beyond the scope of this discussion.)  Another aspect of Medicare B is that it automatically adjusts the monthly premiums to be revenue neutral.  That means that as more people enter the insured group, driving down the average cost of insuring each one, individuals are rewarded by paying a lower monthly fee.  Wow!  We can actually maintain benefits and lower the out-of-pocket expenses for seniors.  


 It isn’t wrong to stand up for those who are striving to make their lives better.  In fact, it is morally reprehensible to kick them in the teeth by refusing to allow them a means to take care of them selves and their families.  Medicare B is not a perfect plan.  It does, however, take the injustice out of the first two minutes of every hour fifteen million Americans will work today.

Way too much is happening

with this administration to go about business as usual. The intimidation and perversion of our media, nominating his faithful, friend, defender, and lap dog as a supreme court justice, so many dangerous lies about so many issues, treasonous acts, and perhaps most insidious of all the attemepted destruction of our democratic rights.
Nov. 2nd is a day that right now lives in infamy, and must be reclaimed. Don’t just do your usual thing on that day this year! Our world really can’t wait. World Can’t Wait