Fri Oct 31, 2008 at 01:09:42 PM EDT
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| The new SUSA poll of New Jersey shows Obama with a 10 point lead, actually a bit disappointing compared to other polls. This is McCain's first poll above 40% since early October, and again Obama has failed to hit 55%. On the other hand, the previous best pollster comment, Marist saying Obama enjoyed a "lovefest" in New Jersey, has been superceded by SUSA's headline "Democrats Obama, Lautenberg Win in Garden State." Win? I guess we shouldn't expect any more New Jersey polls out of them.
The New Jersey polls since October 15 show:
Obama 52 McCain 42 SUSA
Obama 53 McCain 35 FDU
Obama 54 McCain 38 R2000
Obama 53 McCain 38 SV
Obama 56 McCain 39 Marist
Obama 59 McCain 36 Qunnipiac
Obama 55 McCain 38 Monmouth/Gannett
It doesn't really matter how you combine those polls. Pollster.com's estimator says 53.3-38.9. A simple average gives 54.6 - 38.0. The median gives 54-38. Well, I guess we can all understand the SUSA headline. |
| Hopeful :: SUSA Poll: Obama 52, McCain 42; Lautenberg 52, Zimmer 37 |
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