Obama takes the lead

Cross tabs of interest (4.00 / 2)

McCain has a slight lead in male voters (46-42) while Obama leads among female voters (53-34).

McCain breaks the 50% mark in only one age cohort - voters from 30 to 39 (51%).  Obama breaks that mark in two cohorts - 18 to 29 (73%) and 50 to 64 (52%).

Obama leads in all income cohorts, with more than 50% support, until you break $100K - then McCain holds a plurality of 44-41.  

McCain gets a majority of voters who attend religious services "about once a month" (56%) and "more than once a week" (64%), as well as the apparently non-self-aware "unsure" (how can one not be sure of their own church attendance?) (69%). Obama has a majority among those who never attend (58%) and those who attend "occassionally" (58%).  

Interestingly, Obama has a plurality of those who attend "two or three times a month" (48-31) while McCain leads among those who attend "nearly every week" (48-45).  

And to answer my own question - the people who give Bush an "excellent" rating are mostly in the 30-39 group (22%).  They are mostly Republican (21%) (oddly, 4% are Democrats).  21% are Conservative and 23% are unsure of their ideology (which may explain a lot).  25% of those who claim Bush is an excellent President make less than $25,000 a year - so they are apparently masochists, too.  26% attend church more than once a week - and if you make that little, I suppose you need to pray a lot.

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by: Thurman Hart @ Mon Jun 09, 2008 at 22:28:36 PM UTC

Gen-X (0.00 / 0)

is trending towards the Democrats, but I suppose as a group will always be influenced by Reagan.


Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

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by: Hopeful @ Mon Jun 09, 2008 at 23:01:07 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

23% of New Jerseyians think its ok (4.00 / 1)

For Bush to eat kitties..

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

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by: FogerRox @ Tue Jun 10, 2008 at 00:05:55 AM UTC

That irreducible base (0.00 / 0)

It's been our experience over too many years in several states that there is a hard core of right-wing voters that hovers around 25-30%--nothing shakes them.  

"Do what you can, with what you have, where you are."  (Teddy Roosevelt)

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by: DottieG @ Tue Jun 10, 2008 at 03:21:21 AM UTC

Only 12% think Dubya is "excellent" (0.00 / 0)

I think the more interesting question is when people were asked to choose between "winning the war" and "bringing the troops home" that 60% chose to bring the troops home.  

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by: Creed Pogue @ Tue Jun 10, 2008 at 12:32:17 PM UTC

Here's what I want to know (4.00 / 1)

Who are the 16% who DON'T think Bush is doing a good job and plan to vote for McCain anyway?  What this poll clearly indicates is that the media meme of "John McCain Is A Maverick" is retaining its hold on the collective consciousness.  The message that we have to get out there is McCain's actual record -- and what he promises for the future.  Perhaps he was a "maverick" at one point, but he isn't one any longer.  And we have to grab that 16% and show them.

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by: brilliantatbreakfast @ Tue Jun 10, 2008 at 14:13:32 PM UTC

Jersey's wingnut bloggers (0.00 / 0)

haven't even come around to Paul Mulshine's view  of Bush.  

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by: Wesleylake @ Tue Jun 10, 2008 at 19:31:59 PM UTC