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Campaign Roundup for Wednesday, April 2, 2008

by: Scott Weingart

Wed Apr 02, 2008 at 08:52:33 AM EDT



NJ-Pres: Rasmussen poll
  • A Rasmussen poll released Monday found Republican John McCain leading both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama inside the margin of error in New Jersey.  McCain, who leads Obama 46-45 and Clinton 45-42, is boosted by his 61% favorability rating in the state.
  • NJ-Sen: The Republicans

  • An FDU poll finds that three in four Republicans don't know who they will vote for in the upcoming US Senate primary.
  • NJ-Sen: The Democrats

  • Frank Lautenberg says he will pour $2 million of his own money into defending his seat from a Rob Andrews primary challenge.

  • Two two big New Jersey mayors, Newark's Cory Booker and Jersey City's Jerramiah Healy, who is also HCDO chair, are supporting Lautenberg.

  • All six New Jersey House Democrats who are running for re-election to the House this year have pledged to run on a line with Lautenberg in the primary. At least two of the six, Frank Pallone (NJ-06) and Steve Rothman (NJ-09), have senatorial ambitions of their own.
  • NJ-02: Van Drew staying out

  • Jeff Van Drew chickens out again and declines to challenge LoBiondo.
  • NJ-09: Wildes wants in

  • The power-hungry Michael Wildes wants to challenge Steve Rothman in the Democratic primary for his Congressional seat.
  • Atlantic City Mayor: Conflicts of interest?

  • Incumbent Mayor Scott Evans questioned Lorenzo Langford's ability to serve the city that is trying to recover an $850,000 settlement from him. In return, Langford criticized the mayor for approving a $200,000 settlement for a former fire captain in the fire department where Evans served as battalion chief.
  • Scott Weingart :: Campaign Roundup for Wednesday, April 2, 2008
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    Hydra polls -- too many heads! (0.00 / 0)
    The "head to head" polls using McCain against either Hillary or Barack are silly and a waste of money -- unless they sell papers.

    McCain has his party's nomination locked up, so all the people on that side of the fence are going to say his name no matter what.

    But there are plenty of people supporting one or the other Democrat who want to make their opponent look weak.  One good way to do that is to game the poll and pick McCain when asked to pick from McCain-Opponent.

    So some Clinton loyalists (not voters, but true-believers) probably say McCain in the McCain-Obama question, and some Obama loyalists (not voters, but true-believers) probably say McCain in the McCain-Clinton question.

    So don't get too freaked over this.  Even with his party's nomination locked up, no one attacking him and the gaming of the poll McCain still can't get anywhere near 50 percent in the state.


    Jeff Van Drew (0.00 / 0)
    is doing nicely in Trenton politics, he's  close to home, so it's  easy to understand why raising & spending millions  for the chance to relocate to  Washington & becoming  a freshman nobody might not have  a lot  of appeal right now.  

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