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Voters: It's Time For the Dems to Lead or Lose

by: nathanrudy

Thu Nov 08, 2007 at 10:11:11 AM EST



( - promoted by Juan Melli)

Great analysis. Promoted from the diaries -- Juan

Election Day was full of disappointments, but the main disappointment was expressed by the voters in the leadership of our state in general and the Democratic party in particular.  The voters told our leaders that their chances are up, and they want property tax results now or they will exact revenge.

The country has not been more pro-Democrat than it is right now.  Only 19 percent of New Jersey residents gave the Republican President a positive rating two weeks before the election, and the national ratings have more than 50 percent strongly disapproving.  General approval of Democrats to run Congress is more than 20 percent higher than that for Republicans.

This should be a time that a blue state like New Jersey begins to crush the Republicans and put them into the minority for decades.  But that requires real leadership and management, something we are obviously not getting from our current leaders.  And the voters feel this failure deep in their bones. 

nathanrudy :: Voters: It's Time For the Dems to Lead or Lose
But they still want to believe in the Democrats, and want the Dems to run the show.  They sent a clear message that they still prefer Democrats, extending the majority in the state Senate and only shifting two seats to the GOP in the Assembly.  Locally things went pretty even and Dems came closer than ever in highly Republican areas like Somerset and Hunterdon. 

Clearly, however, there are issues.  For years New Jersey has been laboring under increasing fiscal problems at all levels of government, problems which have resulted in dramatically rising property taxes and slightly higher state sales and income taxes.  Voters can believe in the Democratic platform and still see their wallets squeezed to the point where they wonder if they can feed their kids.

A three bedroom cape in the suburbs - and we're not talking Far Hills or Princeton but Sayreville or Manville - that used to be called a starter home is costing $6,000 to $8,000 a year in taxes.  For a family bringing home $50,000 after payroll and income taxes that's 12 to 16 percent of their entire bank.  Add on home repairs, mortgage interest, mortgage principal and utilities and just having a home can walk off with 30 percent of your income before you even consider feeding the kids.

It's too much, and the people of New Jersey have known this for years.  They've been telling the politicians and elected officials this for years.  At the same time the voters have been loyal and returned Democrats to control in the state, passed all the spending measures put on the ballot, and asked for relief.

In return they got gimmicks, one-time deals and band-aids.  Now the voters have decided that enough is enough, and this election is the last one the Democrats can expect to slide on the fiscal issues. 

New Jersey voters support embryonic stem cell research by a whopping 71 to 19 percent, and even Republicans back it with a 52 percent majority.  That's an amazing number that should translate into electoral success for a ballot issue asking for money to fund the research. 

But the $450 million bond initiative - small in terms of our $33 billion budget - failed 54/46.  That means at least 25 percent of the voters support embryonic stem cell research but voted against bonding to pay for it.

They didn't vote against stem cell research: they voted against adding more debt to an already crushing load.

New Jersey voters overwhelmingly support lower taxes, with no one I have ever spoken to suggesting that our property taxes are reasonable or necessary to provide the services we want and receive.  Sure, many Democrats are willing to compromise on this issue to ensure good services, but even we out here on the left end of the spectrum need a break and recognize that there is waste and redundancy that could easily be shifted to reduce the burden. 

And yet the voters turned down a chance to spend another half-penny of the sales tax on property tax relief!  They voted against property tax relief because they want property tax reform.  No more band-aid solutions that put a few more dollars in their pockets, but a straight up solution to the structural issues that are destroying our state.

They're sick of add-ons like Atlantic City gambling and the income tax, and those failed to address the issue.  They're tired of band-aids like the Republican NJ Saver or the similarly idiotic Democratic plan that shifted a half-penny of our sales tax increase to checks for homeowners.

Thirty years of evidence proves they don't work.  We've begged for real solutions to this problem, screaming from the rooftops that our backs are breaking and we get sophism, smiles and slaps on the back in return.

Well the voters just told us that they have had enough.  The Democrats were kept in power this year, but both increased spending and band-aid solutions to skyrocketing property taxes were shot down. 

Democrats have less than two years to make a change, a substantial change, to the way things work.  In 2009 Corzine's term is up, and if the Dems keep doing nothing we will lose that seat and we may lose the Assembly. 

There's a lame duck session coming up, and it's an opportunity for the Democrats to step up and tell the state that they heard the message.  They need to either admit that they are simply unable to fix the problem and begin the process to have a Constitutional Convention on property taxes, or they need to begin putting together a fix right now. 

There are enough plans out there, enough studies, enough recommendations.  We have already dragged this one out long enough, and the time has come to pick a plan and go with it.  By the end of lame duck they should have an outline, by the end of February they should have a set of bills, and by the end of June they should have it on the Governor's desk along with a budget.

It's possible if we do what is right - a complete restructuring and realignment of governmental responsibilities and rights from fire districts to school boards to City Hall to the Governor's office - that Democrats will still lose in 2009.  The necessary solutions are hard to swallow and will cause a lot of pain, particularly to the governmentally embedded private citizens and corporations who profit so handsomely off the redundancy and waste of our current system.

These leeches will fund Astroturf groups to convince the public that Satan walks the land.  Local elected officials will scream that only they know how to deliver services locally and that the county or state can't do it.  Unions will go nuts and rally their members to oppose any radical change.  They will all choke off campaign funds and make the election season miserable and difficult.

Yes, it's possible that the Democrats will lose control of the state government in 2009 if they do the right thing.  But I can guarantee you we will lose if we don't.

So we have a choice between doing nothing and losing for sure, or instituting a fair but tough solution and having a shot at maintaining control.

The voters told us what they want.  Now we get to see if our party's leaders are listening.

Nathan Rudy is the former Democratic Council President of North Plainfield, NJ and a current State Democratic Party Committeeman.

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One of the best introspectives I've seen in a long time. (0.00 / 0)
Juan,

Can you please make sure all Democratic Legislators read this?  This has to be one of the best introspectives I have seen come from either party.

I have been a supporter of the convention for a long time, and have been frustrated by the lip-service by our elected officials who really don't care.  Though I would like to see it include the structure of government as well as how we spend included, not just revenue collection. 

We take something promising like Stem Cell and pork it up to 4 times the original cost to buy Legislative votes and wonder why people voted it down like I did. 

If people want real change they have to take the risks and force those in power to finally do the right thing.

Please please make this diary wide-spread and give it the press coverage it deserves.


Re: One of the best introspectives I've seen in a long time. (4.00 / 3)
Juan,

Can you please make sure all Democratic Legislators read this?

That's flattering, but I don't have that kind of power.

[ Parent ]
We ALL have that power (4.00 / 2)
Copy and paste (with permission from Nathan and/or the original poster here) and send it to all of the Democratic Assemblypeople and Senators, as well as Gov. Corzine.

We CAN make sure they at least get it, and some staffer will at least read it.

"Give me a lever long enough... and I shall move the world." - Archimedes


[ Parent ]
Excellent. (0.00 / 0)


"Where ever you go, there you are." - Buckaroo Bonzai

True enough, but... (4.00 / 3)
I am in complete agreement with Mr. Rudy that the time has passed for reform to take place. Property taxes are too high, there are too many layers of government in this state and too many people with too many hands in too many tills.

But I am less optimistic that the voters want reform. My suspicion, from covering elections over the years and writing about local and state government, is that voters know their is a problem and want it fixed, but that they want it fixed without there being any pain -- or at least no pain for them.

So suburban voters are ready to toss the urban school kids overboard and residents of towns who are unlikely to face consolidation want to see consolidation happen elsewhere.

Consider Jamesburg, which has almost no tax base and nearly had to close its library this year. Jamesburg should merge with Monroe -- it is the doughnut hole to Monroe's doughnut -- but its elected officials are vehemently opposed to consolidation, as are Monroe's. I understand this from a purely parochial point of view -- no one wants to put themselves out of a job -- but it is an example of the difficulties that consolidating municipalties will face. That's why I was chagrined to find that the consolidation commission that was created earlier this year was defanged before it ever came into being (originally, towns would have been forced to merge after a vote of the Legislature).

There is a need for progressives to craft a bold plan for reform -- municipal and school consolidation, a general reduction in the number of taxing districts (there are about 1,400 in the state right now), a realignment of the counties (elimination??), a new school-funding formula, an increased reliance on income taxes (this would not only reduce property taxes but change the warped, tax-chasing incentives that drive our land-use decisions), etc.

Much of this may not be popular -- as I said, New Jerseyans tend to want others to pay for their reforms -- and it could lead to some volatility. I would argue -- as Mr. Rudy does -- that the volatility already is there.

We've wasted too much time spinning our wheels. Let's get the reform train moving forward.


"full of disappointments" (0.00 / 0)
You mean like gaining a seat in the senate even though we're the party in power?  Or only losing two seats in the assembly?  Both, historically impressive.  Those are huge positives that outweigh any negatives.

Maybe if the governor stuck his privatization scheme . . . on the shelf and left it there, there would be less negativity on the part of the public.  But he appears determined to press ahead despite the fact that such a move is intensely unpopular, as it should be.

Property taxes would be relatively high in New Jersey no matter what.  But the main reason is "cherished home rule."  Until that is overcome, the state can only tinker around the edges.


Exactly! (4.00 / 1)
How much do you know about the "privatization scheme"?

Nothing like sucking up a Republican talking point before the facts are even made public.


[ Parent ]
Republican talking point (0.00 / 0)
No, you've got it backwards.  It's a Democratic talking point.  What Corzine has expressed a desire to do is Republican.

[ Parent ]
Misses the point (4.00 / 2)
I think this all misses the point. You can argue over whether the election was  a disappointment, etc., but what Mr. Rudy is talking about is the Democratic Party taking a leadership role and moving real, radical reform forward.

Let's do this: What should real government reform in New Jersey look like? Anyone care to discuss?


[ Parent ]
Right (0.00 / 0)
Now show us where you have discovered what Gov. Corzine has preposed.  Go ahead.  I'll give you all the time you need.

Here's a hint - the plan hasn't been released.  So you can't possibly have a clue what you're blathering about.

As for the talking point - look where they come from.  I know some Dems are running around spouting nonsense about things they don't know about, but we need to stop that.  It's couter-productive, it's stupid, and it gives the Republicans a line they can work for the next two years.


[ Parent ]
I understand your suspicions.... (0.00 / 0)
.....of Corzine's theoretical construct.  Thank you for raising them; but it's too early for conclusions.

Xpat is absolutely right (albeit overly harsh in his tone, he's only human after all ;-) in that it has no real flesh, or even bones, to it at this point; and that it does us no good to buy into the negative Republican spin machine rhetoric on this.

If/when Corzine actually comes up with concrete "monetization" proposals, I would hope that both of us would be the first ones to praise them if they make good sense; and to condemn them if they actually are tantamount to  a "privatization scheme". 

Meanwhile, there's more productive fish to fry in the near term. 


[ Parent ]
New Jerseyans are going to have to swallow more pain and suffereing if we REALLY want to fix the problem (4.00 / 1)
Schools in surburban and wealthy northern-Bergen County, which are generally the best in the state and some of the best in the nation, are STILL strapped for cash and have excessive increases to their budgets each year.  Where does that come from - property taxes.

Something has to give.  You can't keep having all these lavish luxuries of great public schools, prompt and (at least in my hometown) overstaffed police departments, etc.  All of these amenities cost enormous amounts of money because the cost of living is so high here in NJ.  It's a continuous cycle.

As a current student at Rutgers, I know the financial hardships of NJ at a deep level, with 700 classes cut last year and potentially more budget cuts coming due to the projected $1-$3 billion dollar shortfall.

Billions in debt, continued yearly deficits, billions is expected pension and healthcare costs for state workers, daily amenities needed - all costs tons of money in the most expensive state to live in in America.  How can we really solve this problem without drastic measures?

"Give me a lever long enough... and I shall move the world." - Archimedes


Someone asked what reform looks like... (4.00 / 1)
To answer the question on what radical change can be:

1.  Full time Legislature.  We currently have the equivalent of minimum wage rent-a-cops guarding Fort Knox and we are surprised they are stealing the gold?

2.  Dramatic reduction in the number of taxing bosies, either by consolidating towns and schools, eliminating counties fire districts, and other rogue taxing bodies and absorbing their functions in towns, and possibly merging schools with towns.  Schools and towns have the same footprint.

3.  All schools and towns must have a minumum size, in terms of peography and population.

4.  All school districts K - 12 and must have actual buildings.

5.  Removal of the schools from the local property tax.

6.  Complete funding of whatever school funding formula is developed.  No town pays less than 50% and more that 75% of the proposed cost.  Other peoples money means you don't care about controlling cost.

7.  Zero based budgeting.

8.  Universal clean elections at all levels of government.

9.  Bankers prevented from controlling PACs.  Legislators barred from having PACs.

9b.  Destroying the "party boss" system and political machines.  Eliminating "wheeling", i.e. Camden officials can't spend in Cape May.  Keep all monies local.

10.  All legislative / municipal bills can have a single purpose and any finds can only go to it, with the exception of a yearly budget.  Can't combine 200M of pork into a good cause bill.

11.  Clear separatin of CAPEX and OPEX budgeting.

12.  Complete pay-to-play ban at all levels.

13.  State pays for outside auditing of all public entities on a yearly basis, just like private industry does.  Results of all costs / expenses made pubic and online.  All expenses must be justified.

13b.  All state positions must have clear, written goals.  Person in job must meet those for a raise or even keep their job.  Elimination of all no-show and no-work jobs.

14.  Elimination of the "shadow government" -- all of the commissions and agencies without oversight.

15.  Any one person can only have a single public source of income, whether it be a pension, or active paycheck.

15b.  Creation of regional positions when towns only need part-time work such as judges.  One person fills a billet for the towns they support as a single fuill-time hire funded by a few towns.

16.  Pension based on area under the curve adjusted for inflation with respect to salary over time, not the highest three years.

17.  Unions must get member approval before contributing to campaigns (even being barred from being political as an organization but not indoviduals).

17b.  Public employees (including teachers) can opt-out of the union and not have to pay any dues.

18.  NJ version of the Federal Hatch Law.  Public employees can't be political.

19.  I&R with reasonable thresholds to get it on the ballot.

20.  Cap on state / municipal / school debt as a function of state GDP.

21.  Cap on state / local / schools employe head count based on ratio of worker to population.  Local organization has discretion over how to spend their head count "budget".

22.  Reasonable thresholds to recall any state or local administrator.

23.  Reduction of elections to two a year: primary / general.

24.  All appointed officials automatically lose their jobs on administration change.  "Worker bees" with qualifications in the field keep their positions.

25.  Term limits.

I can probably list a few dozen more but the kids need some attention with the day off (Thanks NJEA -- can't hold your convention in the summer?).


Zero based in nonsense (0.00 / 0)
No one should be able to use the phrase "zero-based budgeting" -- it doesn't exist. You can never start at zero. There are too many obligations on the books before you start. It is just one more phrase that sounds great, but has no meaning.

[ Parent ]
That's A Wee Bit Harsh... (0.00 / 0)
....you've reduced the meaning of ZBB to an absurd/absolute literalistic level.

Of course, on that level, you are 100% right.

God, as always, will be found or lost, in the details.  There are no easy fixes.

One man's "zero" is another woman's infant formula. 

So, thanks for raising the issue.


[ Parent ]
From a business point of view (4.00 / 2)
ZBB is you lay out a budget based on what you need, not what you spent last year. 

When I go through a make a budget request for my department for the next fiscal year, this year is only a guide.  Some costs may go up a percentage based on this year like salaries but CAPEX can change dramatically from year to year.  If I have a large purchase this year because we are upgrading, I won't need the same amount next year.  I need to list out what Capital expenses I think I'll need and justify them.

THAT is the essence of ZBB.  Too many towns assume if they got X for capital projects they are entitled to X + some higher amount.


[ Parent ]
Salem County is trying this approach (ZBB) (0.00 / 0)
I'll be interested to see if it is successful.

Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

[ Parent ]
It Pleases Me No End... (0.00 / 0)
....to see my oft stated view that we need radical reforms be so fully vindicated in this thread. 

Yes, the voting electorate (as small as it is) has begun to turn on the establishment Democrats; and rightly so.

Unfortunately for them, the electorate doesn't have a real reform Republican alternative.

Pols like Jennifer Beck will be little more than a rubber stamp applied to ongoing legalized theft.  Hell, she was a lobbyist herself and comes straight out of that culture! 

If/when the Republicans become the controlling majority in Trenton it will be like going from the frying pan into the fire for New Jersey.

This perverse game of tweedle dum and tweedle dee has got to come to an end.  There's no more "fat of the land" for the thieves to "live off of".

The good news for the Democratic party is that is has a small window of opportunity to do the right things.

Obviously I believe Nathan Rudy is generally correct here; but the deeper questions are ones of specifically HOW we get entrenched elements of our party to get truly serious about making the requisite changes...and folks, it simply ain't gonna happen unless they're FORCED to do it.

Lest I be accused of making this into an abusively long winded "comment", I'll put up a diary (that may soon be found in some nook or cranny here, please keep an eye peeled if you're interested) that will cover my own views of what is, specifically needed, why and how to get from "here to there". 

It'll be stuff that most of you have heard from me for the last year mixed in with a new approach that some might find of interest.

When Frederick Douglass said...

  "If there is no struggle there is no progress......Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never did and it never will."

...he was 100% right.


ain't gonna happen unless they're FORCED to do it. (4.00 / 1)
"Obviously I believe Nathan Rudy is generally correct here; but the deeper questions are ones of specifically HOW we get entrenched elements of our party to get truly serious about making the requisite changes...and folks, it simply ain't gonna happen unless they're FORCED to do it."

Nick, you are right on the point... now HOW do WE force them to make changes? Getting to be part of the system, without succumbing to the trappings and not being sucked in ourselves?

Babs

"Discrimination caused by ignorance and fear is a tax on human progress" - Barbra Casbar Siperstein


[ Parent ]
With Any Luck.... (0.00 / 0)
....you'll have a rather lengthy initial response to your excellent questions by morning. 

Please stay tuned Babs! 


[ Parent ]
Universities have enough money for stem cell research (0.00 / 0)
The major Universities, Princeton and Rutgers, already have enough money for stem cell research.  They are just misusing the money they have.  Universities are paying bloated executive salaries to multiple levels of top administrators.  Princeton is spending money on plush buildings, where the main beneficiaries are the construction companies in NJ, certainly not the post-docs and graduate students.  If the state mandated executive salary cuts at state universities, it could come up with a few million dollar a year to fund a few labs that have a proven track record.  A billion dollars doesn't need to be spent.  Put a few labs in NJ on the track to win NIH grants.  Some companies run on $10 million a year for 100 people, so a university could hire a few professors and postdocs and add some facilities on some stem cell initiatives.  The president of UNDNJ was earning more than $600,000. Now think about all of the vice presidents, assistant vice presidents, etc. and you get the picture.

I wonder if New Jersey voters are ready to bite the bullet (4.00 / 1)
...and just endure the pain that's required to get the state's finances in order just to get it over with.

We can either continue to have the kind of slow bleed we see now, or we can endure a world of hurt for, oh, say, five years and then be better off at the end.

At this point, I don't even care what the party affiliation is of those who can do this, as long as it doesn't involve wingnuts who think that banning gay marriage or punishing evil sluts (sic) who can't keep their legs closed by making them have babies they don't want or Guatemalan day laborers are the most important issues in the state. 

The Whitman, DiFrancesco, and McGreevey regimes have been some of the most irresponsible I can remember, and Corzine lacks the stones to do the hard work required to get us out of this mess.

I'm stuck in this state because of employment, but if I weren't, I'd be out of here, because the shrinking job base, skyrocketing property taxes, sprawl, and corruption are starting to make New Jersey look like tomorrow's Michigan.

I'm ready to bite the bullet and endure the pain, as long as it's temporary and enacted by people who aren't going to use it to stuff the pockets of political party apparatchiks.


Let's Not Underestimate... (0.00 / 0)
.....how large the "corruption tax" may be.

Obviously it can't all be eliminated in a day; but even it it took six years; I bet that 20% of every dollar spend is colored with something sleazy (even if technically legal).

Further, I bet a truly politically cleaned up NJ would become a magnet for positive smart creative people and capital. 

Not to mention that our air, food and water would be healthier, cleaner and taste better when our politics are cleaned up.

I suspect the "pain" of serious root to branch reforms would mostly be felt by all the hogs in the trough realizing that their "gravy train" is gone.


[ Parent ]
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