Run, Al, Run: Poll

I think he'll wait 'till sept. After the concerts. (0.00 / 0)

NJ Draft Gore:

http://www.dfalink.c...

Check out my 3 paragraph primer on Polywell Fusion.

---

by: FogerRox @ Tue Feb 27, 2007 at 03:43:58 AM UTC

I Don't Trust These Polls. (0.00 / 0)

Right now, there are only about 3 points difference, and I don't believe that!  I think that this is controlled by the "Party Machine," and you know who "They" want to win, don't you?  It is the "People" and the "Grassroots-Netroots" who want Gore to run, NOT the "Party!"

---

by: krose @ Tue Feb 27, 2007 at 04:43:20 AM UTC

An interesting question... (0.00 / 0)

... from The Hotline about Carville hyping a Gore candidacy:

Do Sen. Clinton's strategists believe that Gore will actually run? Probably not -- he'd be hard to beat, as they'll acknowledge. But the more the Democratic activist base thinks about Gore, the more they'll compare the ideal -- Mr. Gore -- with the hope -- Mr. Obama, and presumably, they'll find Obama lacking in substance.

---

by: Jersey Boy @ Wed Feb 28, 2007 at 21:39:33 PM UTC

2008 may truly see a brokered Democratic convention - and Al Gore emerging from it (0.00 / 0)

With 26 primaries front-loaded on one day, Tuesday, February 5, 2008, this is the primary season most likely in decades to produce a brokered convention.  There's not much shot at building momentum, particularly if different candidates win Iowa and New Hampshire, very possible.  Then on Feb 5, the vote across the 26 states could be, say, Clinton 35% Obama 32% Edwards 28%, with no clear lead in delegates either.  And there could be insufficient delegates to decide the nomination by convention time.

That's when the convention chooses Al Gore, with his running mate probably being the top-delegate holder among the primary candidates, in a deal that the top-delegate holder would actively seek to release his or her delegates. 

Gore-Clinton?  Doesn't that resonate to better times?!  Gore-Obama?  Exciting ticket.  Gore-Edwards?  Would be wierd for Edwards to repeat as VP candidate, but two Southerners worked in '92 and '96.

---

by: Steven Goldstein, Garden State Equality chair @ Sun Apr 08, 2007 at 17:27:15 PM UTC

highly unlikely (0.00 / 0)

As popular as Gore is right now, I don't foresee several thousand delegates who have in many, if not most cases, dedicated themselves completely and totally to their respective candidates over a 12-18 month period abandoning them in favor of Gore, even if one of them was willing to take a step backwards and be his VP.  Obama is probably the only one of the top 3 who would do it, and unless he already has 1500 or more delegates in the bank, attaching himself to Gore is not going to put him over the top.

I don't think that a brokered convention is out of the question, but I think that the most likely scenario is a Clinton/Obama deal with the candidate holding the most delegates being the Presidential candidate and the other one being Vice-President.

Edwards is not going to be anybody's VP again, so he would have to be ahead of either Clinton or Obama to be in a position to make a deal with either of them.  If Obama is in 3rd place behind both Clinton and Edwards in either order, he would probably be in a position to decide the nominee.  The same is true for Clinton if she is behind Edwards and Obama.

If Al Gore wants the chance to be President again, he is going to have to run.  He isn't going to be anointed at the convention.  There is not enough Hollywood in politics yet for that to happen.  I think that he will decide one way or another in September and his decision-making will be ruled by the dynamic at that time.

If Clinton has established herself as the clear front-runner or Clinton, Edwards, and Obama are all within less than 10 percentage points of each other, I think that he will run.  However, if either Edwards or Obama have pushed past Clinton and the other, and have established himself as the clear front-runner, I think that a Gore run is less likely, because either Edwards or Obama will give Gore a seat at the table, while Clinton will most likely shut him out completely.

If Gore does not run, he could become a kingmaker by supporting either Edwards or Obama sometime this fall or at a brokered convention.  If Obama has already left Edwards way behind in 3rd place and is on the verge of overtaking and passing Clinton this fall, I would not be shocked to see him endorsed by Gore, which could be enough to put him over the top even though Gore's endorsement didn't do Dean a bit of good in 2004 and may have actually damaged him.

---

by: Bertin Lefkovic @ Sun Apr 08, 2007 at 22:59:04 PM UTC