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So What's The Upshot? Predictions Thread

by: huntsu

Tue Oct 04, 2011 at 02:09:52 PM EDT



OK, Christie is out, in what felt like a six week presser.  So what's the impact of this on the GOP Presidential nomination race?  Some ideas below, but looking for your ideas in the comments.  Have at it!

1) Christie endorses Romney, and it's all over for the others.  Just to note, Romney leads national polls again (with Cain in second place!) and Perry is dying a slow death Christie decided to avoid, so why not get on the bandwagon quickly like he did in 1999 with Bush?  Since there are a lot of donors out there urging Christie to get in, their money has to go somewhere, and with Perry collapsing and Christie out Romney looks to gain.

2) With no bombastic screamer in the race (at least not to GOP levels now that Bachmann can't get on TV), Sarah Palin could decide to jump in just for shits and giggles.  Suddenly the Tea Partiers who were holding their noses in support of Romney turn to Palin, and Romney's numbers cater.  Now it is wide open again giving anyone a chance.  Of course, as a result of this there's a Draft Christie movement again and we have to go through all this crap again.

or)

3) Palin gets in, caters Romney with her attacks, and suddenly Ron Paul looks like a rational maverick.  Paul is up in the double digits now, and has been slowly growing his support.  He loses Iowa, but wins in good ol' libertarian New Hampshire and suddenly everything is up for grabs.  No one has the nomination sown up by convention time, so Christie is drafted to run.

No matter how you look at this (even if Chrisite gets in) it's fricking terrifying.

huntsu :: So What's The Upshot? Predictions Thread
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Vice-President Christie (0.00 / 0)
He will be offered the slot by whomever is nominated, and he is very likely to be on a winning ticket.

If the ticket loses: he will not run for a second term as governor, (he would most likely lose anyway). He will instead start running for president in 2016.

In either case: I continue to doubt he is running for a second term as governor. He will screw everything up, leave, and the next governor will have to clean up his huge mess.

http://jerseyjazzman.blogspot.com


I still think... (0.00 / 0)
...he is gunning for Attorney General. Christie does not have the temperament to be a do-nothing VP, so unless he looks at himself as the next Dick Cheney (nightmarish thought), the AG is a more powerful position.  

Blog: http://www.deciminyan.org

[ Parent ]
yoko ono (0.00 / 0)
folks still blame Yoko for breaking up the beatles. I wonder if GOP fanboys will blame Christie's decision not to run on his wife in a similar manner.

activist for hire.Follow jay_lass on Twitter

Times is reporting that... (0.00 / 0)
She actually ok'd the decision three weeks ago in a 6 am conversation. So it's all on the Governor himself. Say it ain't so...

[ Parent ]
the Jersey press poll (0.00 / 0)
another possible advantage to this announcement is that some of the more obsequious members of the NJ State House press corps will have a bit less incentive to be so kissyy-assy.

activist for hire.Follow jay_lass on Twitter

Palin (0.00 / 0)
The media will turn their attention somewhere. May as well be her.

If not, Romney cruises to the nomination, and we go from there.


From your mouth... (0.00 / 0)
...to the political gods' ears.

The only thing that makes this remotely possible is the collapse of the Bachmann for President campaign.  Palin should promise Bachmann to make her RNC Chair if Bachmann drops out and endorses her when she gets in.

Once again, if Palin runs, every Democrat should register as a Republican (if necessary) and vote for Palin in GOP caucuses and primaries.  Her nomination is Obama's best hope at re-election and even if she were to somehow win in November 2012, the world will most likely come to an end a month later, so she probably won't be inaugurated anyway.


[ Parent ]
Or... (0.00 / 0)
Maybe we will have another round of whether Christie's "no" really meant "no" this time in a month or so.

[ Parent ]
Oh, this is SO unkind. (0.00 / 0)
From Buzzfeed:

Chris Christie's Presidential Announcement (with Cats).

It's not a particularly snappy signature, but here's what I think we need in the next NJ Democratic State Chair.  


NON-presidential (0.00 / 0)
Picking him as a VP candidate will show the desperation of the GOP. He has the skills of a rhino and GOD help us if he were to be sent abroad to advocate for America.

Paul Betzler

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