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New 16th District

by: Jeff Doshna

Sun Apr 03, 2011 at 02:38:56 PM EDT



I leave it to other on Blue Jersey to talk about the rest of the map.  Here's my first thoughts about the re-drawn 15th / 16th and 23rd districts affecting Hunterdon, Somerset and Mercer Counties.

To put it simply -- I think this is a far better map for the Dems than is being portrayed.

The lead story is that Princeton has been taken out of the 15th -- taken away from Trenton -- and progressive Assemblyman Reed Gusciora has no chance to win in conservative Somerset county.

But folks need to take a look at the rest of the district.  

First of all, Bedminster, Bridgewater and Bernards (and environs) are no longer in the district.  Neither is Assemblywoman Coyle for that matter.  This takes away some of the most conservative part of the district.

Second of all -- and here's where I think there's gains to be had -- Flemington Borough, as well as Raritan and Readington townships in Hunterdon County are now in the 16th.

So the new district includes much of the Democratic core of Hunterdon County, along with Princeton, Somerville and Manville -- town centers that have voted Democratic.

Most importantly, the district is far more diverse. About 70% white, over 16% Asian and 8 percent non-white hispanic.

I'm not saying it's a lock district for Democrats, but Bateman and Biondi have a greater chance of losing to good Democrats than ever before.  Reed Gusciora has announced his intensions to run and I hope doesn't try to move back into the 15th, and stays here to run with Marie Corfield.

Jeff Doshna :: New 16th District
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New 16th District | 4 comments
I agree (0.00 / 0)
These numbers -- again with the right candidate -- suggest that a Democrat is competitive here.

Of course, for a statehouse race, it also means the organizations in Hunterdon, Somerset and Middlesex playing nicely together for a race in that covers parts of all three counties.

We'll see

Jeffrey Doshna


[ Parent ]
And don't forget Southh Brunswick (0.00 / 0)
Which leans Democratic.

New 16th District | 4 comments
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