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No Way ... Yes Way

by: Bill Orr

Wed Nov 03, 2010 at 01:30:00 PM EDT



While we celebrate having avoided the Republican deluge in other states, let's not forget that the NJ landscape is now more slippery than before. The unexpected can happen: "No Way" can become "Yes Way." We better get our ass in gear for 2011 and 2012.

  • Jon Runyan will win ... but in spite of "late property tax payments, two lawsuits, a tax lien, 1995 arrest for driving under the influence, spotty voting history and a farmland tax break," he does.

  • All Five incumbent Bergen Democrats will lose ... How the mighty have fallen!

  • Pallone will win with only 11 points ... Two years ago he won with 35 points.

  • Holt will win with only 7 points ... Two years ago he won with 28 points.

  • All four Hunterdon Co. Democrats will lose ... but they do.

  • Rand Paul, Mark Rubio, and Nikki Haley will win and Anna Little will garner 44% of the vote and U. S. exit polls suggested that more than one in 10 voters identified themselves as members of the Tea Party movement ... The Tea Party only got started in early 2009.

  • Democrats will lose at least 60 seats in House of Representatives ... but they do.
  • Bill Orr :: No Way ... Yes Way
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    The Republican-Tea Party will overreach (0.00 / 0)
    As they said on NPR this morning,
    There are no Democrats in Republican districts.

    The Republicans will overreach. Beynor, Kantor, the rest will try to repeal health care, and people will learn the details, and like things like children under 26 covered on their parents' policies, and insurance companies being forced to cover pre-existing conditions. It will be just like '94 when Gingrich shut down the government and people said "Hey, I want a passport. I want to travel. What do you mean the state parks are closed? I want to visit Yosemite and the Grand Canyon."

    There will be a backlash, as there will be in NJ against Christie for firing teachers and not building the tunnel - 44,000 jobs not created.

    ALL Republican-Tea Party candidates who were elected will find themselves compromised or neutralized. They'll have to give up what little integrity they claim to have.

    We had good news from California - Brown and Boxer beat Fiorina and Whitman,  Nevada, Reid beat Angle, and Delaware, Coons beat O'Donnell. In my district, Rush Holt, a scientist from Princeton, won re-election against a self-funded Hedge Fund gonif. Next door, another incumbant, Frank Pallone, beat his Republican Tea Party rival, Ann Little, by a similar comfortable margin.

    This was less a referendum on Progressive politics than a referendum on money in politics. With Citizens United and the definition of a corporation as a person, opening up unlimited donations, and with "Faux News" very effectively framing issues, it will be very difficult to effect change.

    Sustainability: Harnessing processes rather than consuming resources.


    Tea Party Overreaching (0.00 / 0)
    The Tea Party is certainly trying their best to overreach, but that does not mean they will be neutralized. Their over-blown issues remain, and they gained support in the current elections. They now have seats in Washington which will give them prominence and a platform. It may not be so much a backlash that will hurt them as a future improving economy in which some debt downsizing takes place and stimulus is not needed. In NJ they will take heart and feel they played a role in fighting Adler, Pallone and many others.  

    "The work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives, and the dream shall never die." - Sen. Ted Kennedy

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