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Poll: Rush Holt leads by eight

by: Hopeful

Thu Oct 28, 2010 at 01:33:34 PM EDT



I've been waiting for the new Monmouth University Poll of Congressional District NJ12 (PDF) and it's good news:

Congressman Rush Holt has slightly widened his lead in the race for New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, according to the Monmouth University Poll. The incumbent Democrat garners support from 51% of likely voters in the district, which is identical to his support level from two weeks ago. However, Republican Scott Sipprelle's support has slipped by 3 points to 43% in the current poll...

The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone with 1042 likely voters from October 25 to 27, 2010. This sample has a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percent.

51% is enough to win but not enough to take anything for granted.  Volunteer this week to help our best Representative.  

Hopeful :: Poll: Rush Holt leads by eight
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2nd district (3.50 / 2)
don't forget about me, Blue Jersey!  I'm beating my opponents brains out, just nobody knows it.  LoBiondo and his stooges, eehhh, staff are watching.  That might have to be satisfaction enough?
http://theessentialsteinforcon...

"the black sheep can wear the golden fleece and hold a winning hand" Tim Hardin

Gary, I'm glad you are running (0.00 / 0)
I know I've complained about the failure of the Democrats to run a candidate but I am glad you decided to run even if we don't agree on a lot. I voted for you in both the primary and the general election (mail ballot!)

The troop surge stuff is worthwhile and it's not the only flip-flop LoBiondo pulls. I was going to write about another one later today.  

Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch


[ Parent ]
This puts Pallone to shame (0.00 / 0)
He has ten times the money as Anna Little and only a 7 point lead.  The irony is that the GOP leaders opposed Anna Little because she didn't have money.

Pallone v. Little reminds me of the old children's fable of the turtle and the rabbit.

And we know who won that race.

http://christiegonewild.blogsp...


ken bank (0.00 / 0)
That's a false equivalency. Those are two very different districts. Of incumbent Democratic campaigns, Pallone is the only one that has a Tea Party candidate mounting a well-financed campaign. That may mean hard-right folks coming into the district from elsewhere, because this is a priority race for the Tea Party folks.

You also have Chris Christie targeting Pallone with this ad. Holt's opponent Scott Sipprelle doesn't get an ad like that running for him.

Every district and every race is candidate-specific. It's not just a "he with the most cash wins" situation.  

It's not a particularly snappy signature, but here's what I think we need in the next NJ Democratic State Chair.  


[ Parent ]
Is Pallone spending? (4.00 / 1)
I guess I misstated my premise which is that Pallone has ten times the money but is spending a relatively small percentage.  I don't live in his district and I don't know what he has spent so far, but from what I read it seems he is hoarding most of his cash on the assumption (mistaken I believe) that the 2-1 voter edge in registration and his 22 year incumbency will be enough to ensure his re-election.  

As you pointed out every TNut in the state is working for Anna Little, like the postal service, neither rain, nor sleet, nor snow, nor gloom of night will keep "Anna's Army" from their appointed rounds knocking on doors and other GOTV efforts.

The only advantage Pallone has, at this point, is his money and if he doesn't use it to the fullest this could be the most embarrassing loss Democrats suffer next week.  Even a win by a small percentage will be embarrassing.

http://christiegonewild.blogsp...


[ Parent ]
Pallone (4.00 / 1)
Losing Pallone = Disaster.

It's not a particularly snappy signature, but here's what I think we need in the next NJ Democratic State Chair.  

[ Parent ]
Rush Holt (4.00 / 1)
              I believe Rush Holt is in the lead because of how he runs things. Rush Holt is incumbent so he has more supporters due to how he does things. In the past he had his chance to make his ideas happen. Now with him running again, people have seen, tested, and liked his ideas. I also belive he is good because a leader is someone or thing that leads. They know he is determind, wise and has strong opinions. Kenneth Cody and Scott Sipprelle do not have these. They may be determinded but do not have strong opinions. People now know what he will do and how he will do it. This is one reason he is winning.
Another reason may be because of his experience. He knows what the government will discuss and it's outcomes. He can use this to his advantage. This may help our government more efficiently. Also he doesn't need special training and he knows what to do. He has experience so he can jump right in the discussion to help the 12th district.

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