2009 Exit Polls

by: Hopeful

Thu Nov 05, 2009 at 06:36:19 PM EST

Patrick Murray has posted plenty of analysis, but it is still nice to see the full 2009 exit polls (PDF). As Chris Bowers points out, the youth vote (18-29) fell back to the low levels seen before 2008.

According to the exit polls, Corzine led amongst female voters (50-45) , youth (57-36), blacks (88-9), and Hispanics/Latinos (65-32). He lost all the other groups. It might be worth noting that if you consider whites only, Christie led with both genders and all ages. Corzine led with voters making less than $75,000 (total family income), but that's only 53% of the electorate. The other piece of the Democratic electorate shows up in education, where Corzine won only the postgraduate group. He got 86% of Democrats but only 30% of independents in the final weighted analysis to Christie's 60%.

Hopeful :: 2009 Exit Polls

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2009 Exit Polls | 1 comments

Turnout (0.00 / 0)

It all comes down to turnout. Obama excited voters to turnout. And they were angry at Bush and the Republicans for plunging the country into endless wars overseas and recession at home.

Corzine generated about as much excitement as a porkchop salesman in a kosher restaurant.

And that was Democrats.

And Republicans/independents were angry at Corzine the same way Dems/independents were mad at Bush.

Christie is a political hack in an empty suit. But on a personal level he comes across as more likeable than Corzine and seems to do a better job at connecting with voters.

Ironically Christie will benefit from a Democratic economic recovery just as ironically Corzine lost because of a Republican recession. He'll also govern from the political center like Whitman and Kean, especially with the Legislature controlled by Democrats, and unless he really messes up the next four years my guess is he'll be re-elected like his GOP predecessors.

http://christiegonewild.blogsp...

by: ken bank @ Fri Nov 06, 2009 at 03:41:54 AM UTC