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Democracy Corp Poll has Corzine up by 4

by: Jason Springer

Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 12:59:38 PM EST



Democracy Corp is out with their final poll leading into election day tomorrow and it shows Governor Corzine with a 4 point lead:
A new survey conducted for Stan Greenberg and James Carville's organization Democracy Corps shows a New Jersey gubernatorial race that remains very close, with Democratic Governor Jon Corzine holding a four-point edge over Republican Chris Christie among the electorate most likely to turn out on Election Day.  Corzine leads Christie 41 percent to 37 percent among these voters, with independent Chris Daggett receiving 15 percent of the vote.  Among a higher-turnout electorate, Corzine leads Christie 41 percent to 36 percent.[1] When Daggett voters are pushed to choose one of the two major party candidates, Corzine leads 47 to 41 percent.
While I've seen polls that push the Daggett supporters as if it were a two man race, I don't remember looking at one that had different turnout models. They said they used the higher turnout model in previous polls, the last of which showed Corzine with a 5 point lead. They make this observation:
There is a significant bloc of 8 percent of the electorate that remains undecided, which can still have an impact on the final margin in the race, especially considering the anti-incumbent mood in New Jersey and across the country.
Basically, it's anyone's race. It's going to come down to who wants it the most when turning out supporters.
Jason Springer :: Democracy Corp Poll has Corzine up by 4
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so maybe nothing happened over the final weekend (0.00 / 0)
One poll moves by the margin of error towards Christie, another towards Corzine, and so on.


Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

So many polls, so little time (0.00 / 0)


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