Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 12:33:11 PM EST
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The final Monmouth University/Gannett poll has been released and it shows a shift in voters toward the Governor:In polling conducted over the final weekend of this campaign, the Monmouth University/Gannett New Jersey Poll finds the race is still in a statistical no man's land, but that incumbent Jon Corzine now appears to have a razor thin 43% to 41% lead over challenger Chris Christie. Independent Chris Daggett holds at 8%. This marks a slight, albeit statistically insignificant, shift from the 43% to 42% nominal lead Christie held in polling conducted from Wednesday through Friday.
"This race is still as close as it can be. It's possible that President Obama's visit boosted the governor's chances. But it is also likely that some anti-Corzine voters are still unsure of casting their lot with Christie. If the undecided vote breaks largely for the Republican, this race could be a squeaker," said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. There has been a significant push to get people voting early:The poll also finds that about 6% of New Jersey voters have already cast their ballot by mail, similar to the percentage of mail ballots received in last year's presidential race. For these ballots, Jon Corzine looks to have the decided advantage. A majority of 53% of mail voters say they voted for the incumbent, compared to just 31% for Christie, 11% for Daggett and 5% for other candidates. Here's what the poll said about people's feelings for the candidates:The poll found that Jon Corzine's job performance rating stands at 36% approve to 54% disapprove, which is basically unchanged from prior polls. However, his personal rating has improved, now registering at 40% favorable to 44% unfavorable. While still in net negative territory, this is better than the 39% to 49% personal rating the governor had last week.
Chris Christie's personal rating is a net positive 40% favorable to 38% unfavorable. This is down slightly from last week's 44% to 36% rating. It is also down significantly from the 50% favorable to 26% unfavorable rating he held back in July.
Chris Daggett's personal rating remains steady at 21% favorable to 21% unfavorable, with the majority (58%) of likely voters saying they never really formed an opinion of the independent candidate. The polls are all over the place. It's all going to come down to who we get out to vote. Voters can find their polling place here. The site allows you to get an email/phone reminder when you want to vote and then gives you 5 neighbors who vote at the same polling place that you can call and remind to vote. You can even make calls from home on behalf of the Governor if you can't make it to a location to volunteer. If you want to volunteer but aren't sure where to help, you can call 877-NJ-GOV-09 and they will route you to the nearest office to get involved. |
| Jason Springer :: 3 point shift gives Corzine 43-41 lead in final Monmouth University/Gannett poll |
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