Quinnipiac poll has Christie by two

by: Hopeful

Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 07:39:08 AM EST

Quinnipiac has put out their poll of 1,533 New Jersey likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points:

In the see-saw New Jersey Governor's race, Republican challenger Christopher Christie has 42 percent to Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine's 40 points, with 12 percent for independent candidate Christopher Daggett, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Six percent remain undecided...
Among Daggett supporters, 38 percent say they might change their mind: 39 percent say Corzine is their second choice, while 29 percent say Christie is number two.
Only 10 percent of Christie voters and 13 percent of Corzine backers say they might change their mind.
Corzine leads 77 - 6 percent among Democratic likely voters, with 12 percent for Daggett. Christie leads 78 - 10 percent among Republicans, with 9 percent for Daggett, and 47 - 32 percent among independent voters, with 17 percent for Daggett

Christie seems to be in the low 40s, and Corzine has never been able to break past a ceiling of 42-43. Here he is at 40. We know that Christie gets most Republicans and has a signficant lead with independents. Only a high Democratic turnout could push Corzine over the top.

Update 8:56AM: I don't want to be down. The current pollster.com trend indicator including this poll is 41.8% for Corzine, 41.8% for Christie. The race could not be any closer

Hopeful :: Quinnipiac poll has Christie by two

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Quinnipiac poll has Christie by two | 6 comments

over in NYC (0.00 / 0)

they have Bloomberg by 12.

Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

by: Hopeful @ Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 12:43:09 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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We must not give up (4.00 / 2)

We all need to pull together and get this thing done tomorrow. We can not afford to have Christie win. Make sure you vote and and bring two friends. Walk your district, get the vote out.

by: bluescat1 @ Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 12:56:25 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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Troubling But Also Motivating.... (4.00 / 1)

Going by the polls one would conclude that the momentum against Christie has peaked and is flowing back.

The conventional political wisdom is clearly that this is a tossup leaning to Christie.

If we get out our vote, we win! And I'm choosing to be optimistic and am sticking to a surprising Corzine win by about 5 points! The people of New Jersey aren't stupid enough to elect a total asshole.

PS Christie is, imho, a criminal and would be a complete disaster for the state. If this lying sack of crap gets elected or if he doesn't; there needs to be a special prosecutor to look into his actions as USA. The evidence of criminal (not just "ethical") wrongdoing is effing OVERWHELMING!

The stupid "throwing his weight around" line has served as a positive thing for Christie as it gives the media a distractive rationale to avoid looking at the real problems with him. What's done is done....

Meanwhile, let's GOTV!!!

by: Nick Lento @ Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 13:56:14 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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GOTV van waiting for YOU! (4.00 / 1)

GET-OUT-THE-VOTE CAMPAIGN
ELECTION DAY 2009 - TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 3RD
i i i
Camden & Gloucester Counties
9:00 AM
Garden State Pavilions
2240-15 Route 70 West, Cherry Hill
If you want to volunteer ,hop on a van,and distribute literature for three hours in South Jersey arrangements have been made for those of you who are reading this.

Show up at the Garden State Pavilions (address above) at 9:00 A.M. for the pre-GOTV Rally. Get some coffee,donuts ,and hear the Governor speak.

Locate the table marked Plumbers and Pipefitters Union 322.

Tell the person at the table that you are an unaffiliated volunteer who would like to help out and that you were told that you need to speak to Jim Kehoe. They will find him and he will make arrangements for you to get on a van.

The vans will bring you to targetted areas and bring you back. Your car is safe in the parking lot until you return.

Votes will be precious on Tuesday. Your singular action and effort might make the difference.

STATE WORKERS WHO HAVE THE DAY OFF ARE ESPECIALLY INVITED!!

by: firstamend07 @ Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 15:41:05 PM UTC

by: you @ soon

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and the state colleges are closed (0.00 / 0)

(that's what I understand at least) so students can spend the day too.

Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

by: Hopeful @ Mon Nov 02, 2009 at 15:57:52 PM UTC

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