Quinnipiac: Gov Race Narrowing

what I notice... (4.00 / 2)

...and I know I am a broken record, is Corzine is still at 39%, the same number all year.  GOTV is great, but he needs to get more supporters.

Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

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by: Hopeful @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 14:52:36 PM UTC

Good point. (4.00 / 1)

I didn't say I agreed with the strategy...but it looks like that's what people are betting on.

I think the Governor should be talking more about what he's done to reduce the size of government (back to back budget cuts, reducing the state workforce by 7,000). Either he's not talking about it enough or the media is not paying attention.  

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by: vincent solomeno @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 14:55:58 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

If I Was Polled.... (0.00 / 0)

...and asked if I "approved" of Governor Corzine's "overall performance" I would have to say no.    But the answer to the question...will you come out and VOTE for him, would be YES!

Why, because I'm informed and smart enough to know that going from Corzine to Christie would be like going from the frying pan into the fires of hell.

Everything that is wrong with Jon Corzine would be cubed to the power of ten with Christie.

Corzine may be somewhat compromised, but Christie is a TOTAL whore!

The problem for Corzine is that there are many millions of New Jerseyans inclined to vote for an active/progressive Democrat, but they are disillusioned and unmotivated to come out to vote for him......and they show up as "non approvers" in the polls.

As I've said from the beginning, the way for Corzine to WIN and to WIN BIG...is to AGGRESSIVELY run as a proud progressive.....and to have the balls to rhetorically kick Christie's ass from here to Ahnolds Caleeeforhhneea!

Fortunately for Jon Corzine, Christie is such a blatantly total shit that going negative in ads just may be enough to eke out a victory......but he could do so much better than that.  

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by: Nick Lento @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 18:40:05 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Nothing like a good trajectory... (0.00 / 0)

to brighten the spirits.

But, as Hopeful notes, it would sure feel better if Corzine would get over 40% already.

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by: Jeff Gardner @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 16:22:29 PM UTC

This race might be won with less than 40% (4.00 / 1)

once Dagget gets up on TV all over the State who knows, it could be a 38%, 36%, 26% race.  

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by: Matthew Jordan @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 16:36:34 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

That would be something. (0.00 / 0)

I don't see it happening. But, I suppose stranger things have.

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by: Jeff Gardner @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 16:40:21 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I could see it (0.00 / 0)

barely, but becoming more likely every day.  It looks like the Governor's support is going to be stuck in the low 40s, once you factor in GOTV.

Christie is fading, but I can't tell if it's from diminishing enthusiasm after the summer, due to indies getting turned off (as demonstrated by Christie's rising unfavorables), or something else.  It's clear that Christie's fading support is splitting between Daggett and undecided.  This was his weak support, as evidenced by  the swap in leaners from pro-Christie to pro-Corzine in the past month and a half.

It's all still up for grabs, folks.

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by: HistoryInAction @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 16:57:40 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

At This Rate...... (0.00 / 0)

...Daggett might win with 34%!!!

Corzine needs to give the ordinary working class people of NJ powerful reasons to register and to come our and vote for him...not just against Christie.

Hammering Christie for being a complete ass is required and totally truthful....but in a three way race in which Daggett seems reasonably likable; anything is possible.  (i.e "a pox on BOTH your houses"

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by: Nick Lento @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 18:46:36 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I guess... (0.00 / 0)

it's still hard to imagine, but I suppose with good TV ads and a great debate performance Daggett could do it.  I'd certainly bet on less than 10% rather than more than 10%.


Frank LoBiondo Record and Jon Runyan Watch

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by: Hopeful @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 19:28:14 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Negative works (0.00 / 0)

Corzine needs to keep going negative at Christie which drives up Daggett's numbers as indie voters move from Christie to Daggett.

Corzine also has to turn out his base, which is larger than the GOP but tends to have lower turnout.  Fortunately Corzine can spend tons of his own money to get his voters to the polls and counter GOP attempts at voter suppression, which swung the election from Florio to Whitman in 1993.

http://christiegonewild.blogsp...

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by: ken bank @ Wed Sep 30, 2009 at 23:06:42 PM UTC