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Corzine talks toxic assets on NPR

by: Jason Springer

Wed Mar 25, 2009 at 02:45:00 PM EDT



I'm not smart enough to try and say I have the answers to what to do with the "toxic assets".  To be honest, I thought that's what the first bailout was supposed to help deal with.  Regardless, Governor Corzine tried to explain the Treasury Secretary's plan yesterday on NPR's "The Takeway":
The governor, a former chief executive of Goldman Sachs, the Wall Street investment giant, said Monday's nearly 500-point stock rally showed the markets think the plan unveiled by Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner "may very well work." He said its combination of public and private financing "minimizes risk" and takes the "worst case off the table," so investors would not lose everything.

If banks are willing to sell the bad assets at "rough market prices," ranging from 80 cents on the dollar to 20 cents on the dollar to other values, "I think we could see a positive turnaround with regard to our financial system," and in turn the economy, when lending perks up, Corzine said.

If banks won't do that and private investors don't bite, "We will continue to have a clogged up financial system" weighed down by the risky real estate assets, the governor said.

Corzine said the debts could be a good investment for pension funds, including those run by states, if the fund managers price the assets realistically.

Here is the full audio from the show so you can hear for yourself:

Last Friday, Senators Menendez and Lautenberg said they have complete confidence in the Treasury Secretary.  Paul Krugrman was not nearly as optimistic talking about perception versus reality:

Since the beginning of the crisis, there have been two views of what's going on.

View #1 is that we're looking at an unnecessary panic. The housing bust, so the story goes, has spooked the public, and made people nervous about banks. In response, banks have pulled back, which has led to ridiculously low prices for assets, which makes banks look even weaker, forcing them to pull back even more. On this view what the market really needs is a slap in the face to calm it down. And if we can get the market in troubled assets going, people will see that things aren't really that bad, and - as Larry Summers said on yesterday's Newshour - the vicious circles will turn into virtuous circles.

View #2 is that the banks really, truly messed up: they bet heavily on unrealistic beliefs about housing and consumer debt, and lost those bets. Confidence is low because people have become realistic.

The Geithner plan can only work if view #1 is right. If view #2 is right - if the banks are really in deep trouble that goes beyond lack of confidence - subsidizing investor purchases of toxic assets, many of which aren't even held by the most troubled banks, has no real chance of turning things around.

As you can guess, I believe in view #2. We had vast excesses during the bubble years, and I don't think we can fix the damage with the power of positive thinking plus a bit of financial engineering.

But that's where the issue lies.

I have concerns it's view # 2, but am hoping I'm wrong and I'm far from an expert. I just try to balance my checkbook. What do you think of this latest plan, do you take view # 1, view #2 or have an alternate take?

Jason Springer :: Corzine talks toxic assets on NPR
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