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Presidential election results by Legislative District

by: Scott Weingart

Sat Jan 31, 2009 at 03:51:34 PM EST



In the November presidential election, Barack Obama carried 28 of the state's 40 legislative districts, while John McCain carried just 12. The closest districts were 12 and 21; in 12, McCain won by 435 votes out of over 113,000 cast, while in 21, Obama won by 529 votes out of over 116,000 cast.

Turnout was the highest in the fast-growing, southern Ocean County-based 9th district, where more than 124,000 people voted. The 9th also gave McCain his largest vote total-over 71,000-and his fourth largest percentage win in the state. Turnout was the lowest in the Newark-based 29th, which was also by far Obama's strongest district in the state. Obama won his largest vote total-over 73,000 votes-in the 7th district, which includes Willingboro, Mount Holly, Pennsauken and most of the river towns in Burlington County.

Only two districts that Obama failed to win by more than 11% elected Democratic legislators in 2007, and the two that did represent districts in South Jersey. All ten Republicans elected to a districts that McCain didn't either carry or lose by less than half a percentage point hail from the southern half of the state.

Table: Republican legislators in Obama districts
LegislatorDistrictObama
MOV
Sen. Diane Allen737.9%
Sen. Bill Baroni1417.5%
Asm. John Amodeo217.5%
Asm. Vince Polistina217.5%
Sen. Phil Haines87.6%
Asm. Scott Rudder87.6%
Asw. Dawn-Marie Addiego87.6%
Sen. Sean Kean115.7%
Asw. Mary Pat Angelini115.7%
Asm. David Rible115.7%
Sen. Tom Kean210.5%
Asm. Jon Bramnick210.5%
Asm. Eric Munoz210.5%

See complete results below the fold. The numbers for 27, 28, 29, 31, 32, and 33 are estimates but should be accurate to within a couple hundred votes.

Scott Weingart :: Presidential election results by Legislative District
Table: Presidential results by Legislative District
LDObama (%)McCain (%)WinnerMOVSen.Assemb.
151,356 (52%)46,261 (47%)Obama5.2%Dem2 Dem
258,940 (58%)41,246 (41%)Obama17.5%Dem2 Rep
359,813 (54%)49,674 (45%)Obama9.1%Dem2 Dem
461,695 (59%)42,427 (40%)Obama18.3%Dem2 Dem
559,223 (72%)22,413 (27%)Obama44.5%Dem2 Dem
672,087 (63%)40,306 (35%)Obama28.0%Dem2 Dem
773,641 (68%)32,899 (31%)Obama37.9%Rep2 Dem
864,018 (53%)54,896 (46%)Obama7.6%Rep2 Rep
951,746 (41%)71,354 (57%)McCain-15.7%Rep2 Rep
1042,846 (41%)60,471 (58%)McCain-16.8%Rep2 Rep
1152,047 (52%)46,366 (47%)Obama5.7%Rep2 Rep
1256,154 (49%)56,589 (50%)McCain-0.4%Rep2 Rep
1348,775 (46%)55,729 (53%)McCain-6.6%Rep2 Rep
1463,409 (58%)44,344 (41%)Obama17.5%Rep2 Dem
1563,804 (76%)19,301 (23%)Obama53.0%Dem2 Dem
1648,225 (48%)50,916 (51%)McCain-2.7%Rep2 Rep
1762,974 (71%)25,010 (28%)Obama42.7%Dem2 Dem
1850,865 (57%)37,642 (42%)Obama14.8%Dem2 Dem
1949,243 (61%)30,716 (38%)Obama22.9%Dem2 Dem
2048,768 (71%)19,347 (28%)Obama42.9%Dem2 Dem
2157,998 (50%)57,469 (49%)Obama0.5%Rep2 Rep
2257,958 (65%)30,903 (34%)Obama30.2%Dem2 Dem
2348,775 (43%)64,179 (56%)McCain-13.4%Rep2 Rep
2442,140 (39%)63,182 (59%)McCain-19.7%Rep2 Rep
2550,970 (48%)53,627 (51%)McCain-2.5%Rep2 Rep
2648,162 (43%)61,617 (56%)McCain-12.1%Rep2 Rep
2766,383 (68%)30,907 (32%)Obama36.2%Dem2 Dem
2863,316 (81%)14,024 (18%)Obama63.4%Dem2 Dem
2955,003 (89%)6,265 (10%)Obama79.2%Dem2 Dem
3044,292 (41%)61,316 (57%)McCain-16.0%Rep2 Rep
3157,550 (76%)17,382 (23%)Obama53.2%Dem2 Dem
3244,754 (68%)20,064 (31%)Obama37.8%Dem2 Dem
3354,444 (73%)19,107 (26%)Obama47.6%Dem2 Dem
3465,854 (75%)20,776 (24%)Obama51.7%Dem2 Dem
3553,501 (73%)19,137 (26%)Obama47.0%Dem2 Dem
3644,222 (56%)34,192 (43%)Obama12.7%Dem2 Dem
3762,569 (67%)29,802 (32%)Obama35.2%Dem2 Dem
3852,562 (55%)41,456 (44%)Obama11.7%Dem2 Dem
3954,630 (48%)59,511 (52%)McCain-4.2%Rep2 Rep
4050,279 (45%)60,265 (54%)McCain-9.0%Rep2 Rep
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This Map Makes It Clear..... (0.00 / 0)
.....that NJ is a fairly blue/progressive state.

I wish our elected officials (at all levels) had the courage to advance far more agressive/progressive agendas.......most of the actual people would appreciate it.

As it is, we have way too many folks in office that honestly seem to believe that their constituency are those who give them money.    Thanks for putting this up Scott.



Great post & (0.00 / 0)
great information about where the party can grow in 2009 and beyond

this is so useful! (0.00 / 0)

Thanks!  

who we go after, then (0.00 / 0)
I'm always game for knocking off obstructionist Republicans in the Assembly and Senate. Judging from Scott's research findings, for Assembly elections this year, we go after four South Jersey-based GOP Assembly seats: Amodeo and Polistina in NJ-02 and (somewhat surprisingly) the NJ-08 newbies, Addiego and Rudder. Top Dem recruits for those four seats could get the job done.  

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