NJ6

“Eyes Up Here”: Look up north to see if NJ D’s are serious

A lot has been said, both here at Blue Jersey and in the traditional media, about the recent Congressional redistricting – and more specifically with an eye on the new Fifth and Ninth Districts.  Here in the Fifth, where I (still) live, the District is better in terms of the ability to beat radical right winger Scott Garrett, but the District is still a fairly Republican district.  Where things are very interesting in terms of just how serious the New Jersey Democratic Party is, not to mention the national Democratic Party, lies right here in Bergen County.

When Rep. Steve Rothman decided to run against Rep. Bill Pascrell in the Ninth as opposed to running against Garrett, my thought on the bigger picture is that there will be a lot of money spent on a Democratic Primary (assuming there is one) that could have been much better spent knocking down one of the worst Representatives in the truest sense of the word “representative” in that Garrett does not represent the best interest of most of his constituents.

Make it in America

promoted by Rosi

I believe that creating jobs and helping the economy grow should be America’s top priority. Unfortunately, the Republicans in Congress don’t seem to agree. It’s been 205 days since Republicans took control of the House and in that time Speaker Boehner has not posted any legislation to help put America back to work. In fact, the Republicans have devoted themselves to budget cuts that hurt working families and to protecting tax cuts for the wealthy, tax breaks for Big Oil and tax loopholes for companies that send jobs overseas.

I am working with my Democratic colleagues to advance an economic plan we call “Make It In America.” This is a multi-part plan that help rebuild the manufacturing base in America with good jobs and companies that will contribute to long-term economic growth.

To highlight the Make It In America agenda I visited Seimens in Piscataway yesterday to showcase a manufacturing success story. Siemens has brought jobs back from China to a facility that combines manufacturing, Research and Development and marketing. Watch the video below to find out more about my trip to Seimens and the Make It In America agenda.

Why I voted against the debt bill

Thanks, Congressman. – promoted by Rosi

Washington has been consumed with a protracted and distracting debate that tied the need to raise the Nation’s debt limit to budget cuts. All reasonable people know that default was not an option. The failure of the country to pay its bills would have a catastrophic effect on the economy and on the lives of all Americans for years to come. This was a debate we shouldn’t have been having. Every day and every hour that was spent in this battle was time that wasn’t devoted to job creation or economic growth.

I voted against the deal that was made to end the crisis that paralyzed Congress and threatened the economy. A default had to be avoided, but this was not the best way to do it. First and foremost, the plan does nothing to create a single job and does nothing to aid the ailing economy. In fact, it could cause both immediate and long-term harm to the country’s economic well being and to our ability to pursue economic opportunities.

Negawatts save Megabucks

The Newark Star Ledger reported (here) that Public Service Electric and Gas, PSE&G is installing a the UMDNJ is installing a  2,700-ton chiller as part of an $11.4 million investment in negawatts. The Star Ledger reported that UMDNJ will save $1.3 million per year on energy costs.What’s the payback? An $11.4 million investment will save $1.3 million per year. That means the system will pay for itself in about 8 years 9 months, assuming the price of energy remains constant.  I think it’s a much more reasonable to assume that the price of energy will go up.

The system will work long after it is paid for. It will save at least $13 Million over the next 10 years and $26 Million over the next 20 years – assuming electricity costs are constant, assuming electricity costs are constant.  Assuming electricity costs increase an average of 5% per year, this will save $16.35 Million over the next 10 years, and $42.99 over the next 20 years.

  • Projected Savings of $11.4 Million investment.
  • After 1 Year: $1.3 Million. 11.4%
  • After 5 Years: $7.18 Million (63%) with a 5% annual increases in cost of energy.
  • After 10 Years: $16.35 M (143.4%).
  • After 15 Years: $28.05 M (246%)
  • After 20 Years: $42.99 M (377%).

We have Governor Corzine to thank. as well as Governors Whitman, McGreevey, Codey, and Christie.

NJ6 Poll: Pallone up seven with a week to go

The new Monmouth University poll of 647 likely voters from October 22 to 25, 2010 shows an even closer race in NJ6:

Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone holds a 7 point lead over Tea Party-backed Republican Anna Little, 52% to 45%, according to the Monmouth University Poll.  A poll taken three weeks ago found the incumbent ahead by a 53% to 41% margin among likely voters in this district.

“Anna Little’s gains have come from a tremendous grassroots effort in her home region of Monmouth County.  Frank Pallone will need to bet on a strong turnout in more Democratic areas of this district to fend off this challenge,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Pallone has an identical 52-45 lead among the 7% who have already voted by mail. The President’s job approval rating is 45-48 among the NJ6 likely voters.  

As I understand the outcomes of polling, I can still safely predict Pallone will win since he is up by seven and above 50% with a week to go. But you’d be best off helping Pallone, Holt, Rothman, and our other Representatives than counting on probability. I think it’s safe to say we’ll get a close poll for Rush Holt later in the week. Sign up here to volunteer for Pallone.

Poll: Pallone (D) leads Little (R) by 12

Monmouth University polled New Jersey’s 6th district (PDF):

…incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone holds a 12 point lead over Tea Party-backed Republican Anna Little. The Monmouth University Poll finds Pallone leading Little by a 53% to 41% margin among likely voters in this district.

Patrick Murray points out Pallone normally wins by thirty so that’s not so impressive but it looks good enough. Pallone’s favorable-unfavorable is 48-32, job approval is 46-36. Among other interesting numbers that show how hard this district is for Little is that the Republican Party gets 57% unfavorable and the Tea Party 51% unfavorable.  FiveThirtyEight.com projected 59.3-37.3 before this poll was released, so again Pallone is doing worse than expected.

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