Democratic registration surges

Six months ago Republicans held a registration advantage over Democrats in 6 of the state’s 13 Congressional districts. Today, they lead in just two.

Over half a million voters registered as Democrats since late 2007. The 512,508 newly-registered Democrats represents a 48% increase in registered Democrats in New Jersey. In 2007, 24.9% of registered voters were declared Democrats while 19.3% were Republicans. Today, 35.8% are Democrats and 22.2% are Republicans. Unaffiliated and other voters dropped from 54.2% to 42%.

Thanks to the surge in partisan affiliation, Democrats now hold a partisan registration advantage in four additional Congressional districts that were previously dominated by Republicans: NJ-2 (LoBiondo (R)), NJ-3 (Saxton (R)), NJ-4 (Smith (R)), NJ-7 (Ferguson (R)). That advantage will be incredibly helpful for GOTV efforts, especially in the very competitive 3rd and 7th districts.

The greatest gains for Democrats came in NJ-3, NJ-4, NJ-11 and NJ-12 which each saw Democratic registration increase  by over 60%. Republicans now hold a partisan registration advantage in just two districts: NJ-5 (Garrett (R)) and NJ-11 (Frelinghuysen (R)). In the 5th, the Republican registration advantage dropped from about 51,000 to 31,000 and in the 11th it dropped from about 66,000 to 46,000.

“This is more than a trend, it’s a remarkable increase in Democratic voters that will have a lasting impact,” said Democratc State Committee chairman Joe Cryan. “The people can’t wait to bring the Bush era to an end and the best way to do that is to elect Democrats. It’s not enough that the Bush Administration is coming to a close, the voters are rejecting everything with the Republican brand name.”

Republican registration increased by a more modest 18% which means the partisan advantage for Democrats more than doubled from 240,089 to 600,723.

NJ-4:Chris Smith-Fact 35: His Vote Nixed Troop Bonuses

Over the next 35 weeks before Election Day, the Josh Zeitz campaign will be counting down the 35 facts Chris Smith doesn’t want you to know about his record. We’ll be compiling the facts on our new website http://ChrisSmithFacts.blogspo…  

I’ll post the text of this first one here.

Chris Smith cast the deciding vote against pay bonuses for our troops serving overseas, while voting annually for huge Congressional pay raises.

More after the jump.

Trenton Times covered Carol Gay’s women’s groups endorsements

The Trenton Times had her name right on Friday:

Democratic candidate wins endorsements

Friday, November 03, 2006

With only days before the election, 4th District Congressional candidate Carol Gay has received several endorsements from local women’s groups.

The pro-choice Democrat, who is running for her first elected office, has been endorsed by the National Organization for Women, NARAL Pro Choice America and Planned Parenthood Action Fund.

In endorsing Gay, Planned Parenthood lauded her support of women’s rights and her advocacy of affordable reproductive health care. The group also took a political shot at Gay’s opponent, incumbent Chris Smith, a Republican from Hamilton, who is a staunchly pro-life candidate.

The group criticized Smith for his positions on family planning and birth control, as well as for his pro-life stance.

The groups aren’t local, they are national, and what exactly was the political shot?

This is a partial answer to my question how to tell 65,000 to 100,000 women in the 4th district that their congressman wants to take away their birth control pills?.  Put it together with today’s OC Observer endorsement, and that’s definitely some good news.

“Linda Gay” Trenton Times Voter Guide Gets Carol Gay’s NAME Wrong!!!

According to a reader who subscribes to the Trenton Times and gets advance sections of the Sunday paper, tomorrow’s 4th CD Voter Guide, courtesy of Darryl Isherwood, who I didn’t think was bad, has Carol Gay’s name wrong!  He calls her Linda Gay.  If it weren’t so crucial, I’d almost want to forgive him the mistake, after all the focus on only one congressional race, and how difficult it is to imagine a woman in Congress, a Democrat from NJ (you’d have to think back to 1981), you know, give a guy a break.  If they don’t correct the guide by tomorrow, it’s going to read:

In the 4th Congressional District, two candidates are facing off for the two-year-term.  Incumbent Republican Chris Smith is vying for his 14th term in Congress, while Democratic challenger Linda Gay seeks her first elected office.

Chris is courageous. Linda, aka Carol, doesn’t know how to pay for universal healthcare.  Pic of Smith, none of Carol. Get the full story tomorrow, if they aren’t shamed into correcting it, at least on line.

Trenton Times readers and New Jerseyians need to demand better! 

help for SJ races from military papers editorial, calling for Rummy’s firing

Here’s an editorial that’s coming out in military papers on Monday, reported by msnbc:

Papers sold to military: “Rumsfeld must go”

Editorial comes days after Bush affirms defense secretary’s job security

Just days after President Bush publicly affirmed Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld’s job security through the end of his term, a family of publications catering to the military will publish an editorial calling for the defense secretary’s removal.

The editorial … stated, “It is one thing for the majority of Americans to think Rumsfeld has failed. But when the nation’s current military leaders start to break publicly with their defense secretary, then it is clear that he is losing control of the institution he ostensibly leads.”

The editorial will appear just one day before the midterm election, in which GOP candidates have been losing ground, according to recent polls

“This is not about the midterm elections,” continued the editorial, which will appear in the Army Times, Air Force Times, Navy Times, and Marine Corps Times on Monday. “Regardless of which party wins Nov. 7, the time has come, Mr. President, to face the hard bruising truth: Donald Rumsfeld must go.”

The newspapers are part of the Military Times Media Group, a subsidiary of the Gannett Co., Inc. The publications are sold to service members and their families…

My friend who’s a military wife assures me this is a big deal for military families.

next in the series of wrong endorsements in the 4th

Will someone please explain to me how Smith is getting points for how he:

worked hard to get new sensing equipment installed in the Trenton Regional Post Office in Hamilton, after that facility was contaminated by letters containing deadly anthrax in 2001. Trenton Times

For all you Lakoff ‘framing’ fans – the anthrax deaths were a failure of the government.  They never solved the crime.  The post office was closed for three years.  The postal workers in DC were ignored for the capitol hill staffers!  Give me a break.

And how about reframing:

Mr. Smith at times has been at loggerheads with the leadership of his own party, a political battle that cost him a committee chairmanship

Smith was at ‘loggerheads’ with DeLay who came in two terms, 4 years after him, and Smith is lauded for failing to get veterans their funding!  It shows that Smith’s skills as a politician are lacking.  And what did he do since then for veterans?  He towed the line, voted for the war, sent the military to Iraq without proper armor and has not succeeded in getting the VA fully funded. 

But the press is happy to allow these guys to rest on their laurels.  Smith, with the nationally recognized worst GOP website (out of what, over 250?), is so shameless as to print in this summer’s constituent newsletter his 2004 photo with Megan’s (of Megan’s Law) family.

Dust off the dinosaurs. Check what your guy has done in the last TWO years!!  If you come up with only, strip women of their right to family planning, escort Terri Schiavo’s brother onto the House floor in a move designed to allow the most radical intrusion of the federal govt into people’s lives – and a little moderation with the human trafficking stuff, reflect for a moment.  Carol Gay would oppose human trafficking too, and represent the district far better.  No she doesn’t have 26 years in office, but NJ has to get over the idea that status quo is the be all and end all.

Voter Suppression Techniques November 7

Disclaimer:  this posting is only the result of getting fairly slaphappy 10 days before the historic November 7 election.  Ideas and suggestions shouldn’t be taken seriously, unless someone comes up with a really great one…..

Everyone has heard the voter suppression techniques infamous in places like Florida, Ohio, Missouri, et al.  Intimidation techniques, incredibly long lines to vote, unconstitutional purges, aggressive poll challenges, and so forth.  Some of it may be urban legend.  A lot of it is undoubtedly true. 

On November 7, I fully expect to cruise up to my Moorestown polling place, find plenty of close parking, no lines, and lots of smiling poll workers that assume I will loyally vote Republican.  I expect that the total process will take 5 or 6 minutes out of my day.  However, I’m not sure if they will continue the complimentary concierge services or not,  The free car washes have been great, although they smudged my “Range Rover” last time.

If I lived in Cleveland, I would have different expectations.  End of that story!

So for entertainment purposes only, what would be the fantasy Democrat techniques? 

Here’s my first idea:

For November 7, rent a squad of white Taurus or vans.  Put them at polling sites in strong Republican precincts.  Plaster official-looking and terse “IRS Mobile Audit Team” Signs on the signs.  Hire actors in black suits and equip them with clipboards and briefcases.  Do lots of roaming around the parking lots, and be eager to meet incoming luxury cars?

Second thought:
Send out letters in heavy Republican areas, pre-election day, warning voters who have second homes, that new challenges will be made so that voters with residences in Moorestown and on LBI will need 6 forms of documentation to prevent double voting.  “Please be patient”, the letter will read, “We expect only 30 or 40 minutes to confirm the validity of your documents” 

Of course I’m only being ridiculous…I know Democrats who are affluent and have second homes.  (But I also know who is more likely to be affluent and have second homes…)

Post YOUR ideas!  Deadline is November 7!

Chris Smith on CNET’s Worst Political Websites

This is funny from CNet (via Political Wire), Rep. Chris Smith is at the top of the list.

The problem in selecting the most ridiculous, poorly crafted, or just plain bizarre political Web sites is an embarrassment of riches: There are so many worthy contenders. But whatever the criteria, the Web site of Rep. Chris Smith, a New Jersey Republican who’s running for re-election, would qualify. Anyone thinking of putting up a Web site that’s devoid of actual content should skip the project instead on grounds of sheer embarrassment. (We took the accompanying screen snapshot last week. This week, the Web site has changed to become even less useful.)

This is in stark contrast to Carol Gay’s informative site.

NJ Citizen Action Endorses Carol Gay

At a Press Conference this morning at the Statehouse in Trenton, NJ Citizen Action PAC annouced their 2006 endorsements.

Carol Gay took the opportunity to talk about the issues

I am working to ensure that government responds to the needs of people rather than the interests of those with money and power.

but also went on the offensive against Chris Smith:

Chris Smith has not debated his opponent in 20 years.  He doesn’t debate because he has a shameful, embarrassing record and he doesn’t have the courage to stand on a stage and defend his failed policies.

Republican leadership has failed.  Chris Smith has failed.

She also called for the resignation of Republican leadership implicated in the cover up of Rep. Foley’s perversions:

Smith is protecting a party which has seen the indictment of the previous majority leader (Tom DeLay), the indictment of the chair of the House administration committee (Bob Ney), the imprisonment of a member of the Appropriations Committee (Duke Cunningham) the federal investigation of the chair of the House Appropriations committee (Jerry Lewis) and, most recently, a federal investigation of a senior member of the House Armed Services Committee (Curt Weldon).

(full speech below the fold)

Dr. Dobson’s weighs in on the NJ Delegation

Andrew  0%
LoBiondo  85%
Saxton  85%
Smith  100%
Garrett  100%
Pallone  0%
Ferguson  85%
Pascrell  0%
Rothman  0%
Payne  0%
Frelinghuysen 42%
Holt  0%

But I think Chris Smith gets extra credit for all the hard work he does for Dobson and other religious extremists. That’s why we need Carol Gay for Congress.

The votes:

Marriage protection and sponsorship of the amendment; maintain ban on abortions at military facilities overseas; requiring minor’s parents be notified if crossing state lines for an abortion and requiring doctors to notify parents of out of state minors who seek abotion services; repeal tax payer money used for lawyer fees in establishment of religion cases against local state and federal governments (ten Commandments)-“threatening public official’s public displays of religion”; removing federal courts from hearing Pledge of Allegiance cases; and of course blastocyst protection act.

Here’s the link:
PDF of scorecard link

Chris Smith is SOOO concerned about families but he doesn’t trust NJ families to do the right thing whether making a decision about the size of their family or end of life care ( he was Terri Schiavo’s brother’s chauffer to middle of the night pressers- had to cancel a trip to Europe to get in on the action.) He has spent his 26 year congressional career trying to eliminate contraceptive and abortion services not only for his constituents and US citizens, but also for the poverty stricken in developing countries.