NJ2

NJEA’s Congressional Endorsement list has one thumbs-up that seems counter-intuitive

Here is NJEA’s endorsement list for NJ 2014 congressional races:

U.S. Senate: Cory Booker (D)

CD-1: Donald Norcross (D)

CD-2: Rep. Frank A. LoBiondo (R)

CD-3: Aimee Belgard (D)

CD-4: No endorsement

CD-5: Roy Cho (D)

CD-6: Rep. Frank Pallone, Jr. (D)

CD-7: Pending

CD-8: Rep. Albio Sires (D)

CD-9: Rep. Bill Pascrell, Jr. (D)

CD-10: Donald M. Payne, Jr. (D)

CD-11: Mark Dunec (D)

CD-12: Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)

One of these things is not like the other.

NJEA is endorsing Rep. Frank LoBiondo in CD2, over the Democrat running, Bill Hughes, who lists “strengthening education” second behind jobs on the issues page of his website, and who is married to a school board member.

I talked to NJEA spokesperson Kathy Coulibaly about this. She explained that the LoBiondo endorsement is a “carryover” from NJEA’s endorsement of him in the GOP primary. That seems odd to me, for 3 reasons:  

CD02: Will LoBiondo debate?

Screen Shot Debate clock Bill Hughes for Congress
Above: Snapshot of LoBiondo Debate Clock from Bill Hughes for Congress site

A week ago, Bill Hughes’ campaign issued a challenge to Rep. Frank LoBiondo, who has been the congressman in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district for nearly 20 years. Hughes, the Democratic candidate, invited him to a series of eight debates around the district.

Hughes’ campaign manager Keith Rosendahl says LoBiondo’s campaign never answered, so now they’re throwing a ‘debate clock’ into their website.  It’s not unusual for an upstart campaign to pressure a comfy incumbent to defend his voting record, or for the incumbent to ignore until damn good and ready. And no, I don’t think Hughes is ever going to get 8 debates out of LoBiondo. LoBo’d never expose himself that way. Incumbents rarely do (though if they had balls, they should welcome the chance).

What is noteworthy is how long it’s been since LoBiondo said Yes to a debate: 2,094 days. In 2008 – 3 cycles ago – when he debated Dem David Kurkowski. That was on the campus of Stockton College, sponsored by the William J. Hughes Center for Public Policy. The Center’s named for Bill Hughes’ father, the former congressman and ambassador who held the House seat for 20 years (1974-1995) before LoBiondo.

LoBiondo ran against the senior Hughes twice, and was clobbered by Hughes senior in 1992. But 1994 was the year of the so-called Republican Revolution, when Newt Gingrich and Tom DeLay helped sweep in a whole herd of young, eager beaver, Reagan-worshipping Republicans. The Contract for America, the neocon surge.

That all seems rather outdated. Doesn’t it?

Frankly, there’s plenty to debate and I don’t think even LoBiondo should be allowed to float by this on a lazy river of complacent incumbency. Atlantic City casinos are dropping like flies, and soon 20% of the casino workforce will be jobless. Regional unemployment is 12.6%, says Hughes. He sure wants to talk about that. LoBiondo should address it too. And not only Democrats but all the voters of CD02 deserve that discussion, including Republicans that have voted for LoBiondo in the past.  

PPP Survey Says Runyan Approval Under Water

This is diary rescue from the weekend. DCCC has been targeting Runyan, whose obvious unpreparedness for federal office and his votes since make him a big target. Looks like his failures are catching up with him in-district. Promoted by Rosi.

New Jersey Democrats are pretty used to being ignored by folks who do polls.  While states and Congressional districts around the country get checked to see what’s possible, New Jersey gets a internal campaign once in a while but not much more than that.

But Public Policy Polling has changed that with two (count ’em, 2!) Congressional district polls a whole year out from the election.  I’m positively giddy, so am using parentheses and italics.

Jon Runyan (PDF) in NJ3 is underwater with 40 percent disapproval, 39 percent approval for a net -1 rating.  52 percent are of voters in NJ3 less likely to vote for him knowing he voted to shut down the government, which moves Runyan to a 2 point deficit over a generic Democrat.

Frank LoBiondo (PDF) in NJ3 is better in NJ2 with 44 percent approval and 37 percent disapproval for a net +7 rating. 46 percent of voters in NJ2 are less likely to vote for him knowing he voted to shut down the government, which moves LoBiondo to just a 2 lead over a generic Democrat.

Could we please, please, please, please get come high-quality opponents?

And maybe some polls in other districts, PPP?

BTW, there’s LOTS more info in the cross-tabs, so if you’re in NJ2 or NJ3 you can learn a lot.  Have fun on a Sunday!