Save the Date – 2020 Democratic National Convention

Harris & Booker, two of the likely 2020 candidates on a steep curve to get known

Democratic National Convention – July 13-16. Dems opted for earlier-than-usual. DNC Chair Tom Perez says he wants the party to unify behind a nominee early and shift into general election mode – particularly since the field will be crowded. Super Tuesday is March 3, 2020 (431 days away). That gives candidates with an already-developed national profile an advantage, and gives a shorter-than-usual window for less-known candidates like Cory Booker or Kamala Harris to get known, get liked, and raise a critical mass or resources.

Here are the 3 finalist cities:
Houston – Toyota Center
Miami – American Airlines Arena
Milwaukee – Fiserv Forum

Milwaukee’s the only finalist that’s a Dem Convention virgin. But I’m pulling for Miami – because of the beach I absolutely won’t have time to visit if I’m a delegate. Denver (site of Obama’s 2008 nomination) was the 4th finalist, but withdrew. And Vegas withdrew their bid, in order to try for the GOP Convention, which it lost to Charlotte, site of Obama’s 2012 re-nomination. GOP meets Aug. 24-27; the party holding the White House usually goes second. Charlotte treated us Democrats beautifully; Trump 100% does not deserve those nice folks. Besides the cities above, bids for the 2020 Dems also came from: Atlanta, Birmingham, New York and San Francisco. I’m sorry Birmingham was eliminated early; can you imagine the power of black folks showing up both inside and outside to drive home their role in saving the Democrats’ asses in several key contests especially since 2016?

Here’s the 2020 Primary & Caucus Schedule – New Jersey? Again irrelevant (except as Dem ATM). California, which shared primary day with NJ in irrelevant June 2016, has shifted their contest up 91 days to join Super Tuesday March 3. That day’s going to be a monster; and campaigns that aren’t hot and viable by then will have a hard time catching up.

Superdelegates: After the vast majority of Democratic Party superdelegates pledged to Hillary Clinton, many long before the campaign began in earnest, forming a party insider bloc that suggested to the press and many voters that the primary was all but decided, the Unity Commission (formed of delegate picks from both the establishment and Bernie Sanders wing of the 2016 party) formulated a plan that both drastically reduced the number of superdelegates and revoked their right to vote on the first ballot at convention. Voting has not gone to a second ballot since the 1952 convention. If voting does go to a second ballot in 2020, expect a howl of complaint that the compromise so earnestly hammered out was a fix. And if you’re the praying kind, work your magic that doesn’t happen.

Expect site announcement soon: Perez just finished his last rounds of site visits last week, and the Republicans already gelled their plans.

 

Photos: Harris & Booker :J. Scott Applelwhite/ AP (cropped).
White House Treason: Getty Images, from protest organized by former Hillary Clinton adviser Adam Parkhomenko

Comments (2)

  1. Bertin Lefkovic

    Who wants to be in either Houston or Miami in July? Milwaukee will be far more comfortable.

    I disagree that NJ will be irrelevant in June 2020. NJ would have been more relevant in 2008 had they kept the June date instead of moving their Presidential primary election forward.

    IMHO, the 2020 Democratic nominee is not going to be determined on the first ballot, because there are no winner take all states and it is likely that numerous candidates will split the delegates several ways in most states, making it difficult for any single candidate to win more than 50% of the pledged delegates awarded.

    If I am right about this, NJ’s comparatively large delegation will be critical for Cory Booker and every other candidate seeking to be considered for a spot on the compromise ticket when the superdelegates join the nominating process on the second ballot.

    As is, Cory Booker is going to be hard enough to beat here. In order to prevent being divided and be able to win the largest number of pledged delegates possible, progressive Presidential candidates should commit to participating in an Iowa-style progressive caucus or statewide convention prior to NJ’s filing deadline to determine the single progressive candidate best positioned to oppose Booker on NJ’s June 2020 primary election ballot.

    Otherwise, it is likely that no progressive candidate will get more than the minimum 15% necessary to win delegates in each of NJ’s 20 delegate districts.

    Reply
    1. marshwren

      NJ will be relevant only in the event there’s no clear winner by the end of May; and i suspect Booker will not be one of the last standing.
      If Sanders runs, the race is between the rest of the field (the pseudo- and semi-progressives) and Bernie, and my money would be on him. After all, he didn’t announce in ’15 until late May, and held his first national organizing even in mid-July. This year, the first meet-ups will be Jan. 12th. (And once again, South Jersey is in the forefront)
      If he doesn’t run, it’s a wide open race, and it’s still far too early to start handicapping a field that for the most part still doesn’t exist.

      Reply

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