News Roundup and Open Thread for Wednesday, February 3, 2016

11 New Jersey cities were found to have a higher percentage of elevated blood-lead levels than the rates in Flint because of lead paint. Advocates want $10 million more in the budget.

Criticism over HUD’s Sandy grant low funding to NJ is growing more partisan: NJ Democratic representatives send a letter to Christie, and Republican representatives complain to President Obama.

Can money prevent bullying? N.J. task force calls for more funding.

Dark money fuels pro-Fulop super PAC.

Sweeney super PAC draws heavily on union support  – none of them public employee unions.

3 next steps to help combat poverty in N.J. Opinion: Change the outdated definition of poverty, increase Earned Income Tax Credit, and expand access to quality child care.

Christie muddies Atlantic City takeover with unanswered questions. 

Poor PARCC scores in N.J. raise questions about tests.

Closed for seven years, Saint James Hospital in Newark’s Ironbound reopens as a qualified federal heath center.

Bridgegate scandal defendants ask judge to throw out case. The prosecutor has until Feb. 24 to respond to Kelly’s and Baroni’s motions.

Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno, as acting governor, addresses the New Jersey State League of Municipalities’ Annual Mayors’ Legislative Day, 9 a.m. in the Statehouse in Trenton.

The storied Steve Longan: whose last political post some ten years ago was Mayor of Bogota, has run unsuccessfully for governor, senator and representative. Now he is Ted Cruz’s NJ State Campaign Director. He supports the re-election of U.S. Rep. Leonard Lance (R-7) over Lance’s Republican Primary challenger David Larsen although Larsen backs Cruz for president.

PRIMARIES
Iowa: Overperformers () and Underperformers () – comparing their most recent average of poll ratings to actual outcomes.
Cruz:  went from # 2 with 19.6% to # 1 with 27.7%.
Trump:  went from # 1 with 35.8% to # 2 with 24.3%.
Rubio:  went from # 3 with 10.2% to # 3 with 23.1%.
….
Christie:  went from # 6 with 3.0% to # 10 with 1.85% (next to last, and gained no delegates.)

Clinton:  went from # 1 with 47.9% to # 1 with 49.9%. (Asm. Wisniewski sees a defeat for Clinton)
Sanders:  went from # 2 with 43.9% to # 2 with 49.6%.

With Iowa’s fiasco dismissed as  ‘in the rearview,’ it’s N.H. or bust for Christie’s 2016 hopes.

On to New Hampshire (Tuesday) and maybe South Carolina (Feb. 20). In NH Christie is running 6th with 6.2%. In SC, where it’s uncertain he will have the money and willpower, he is running 6th with 2.3%.

Christie underperforming financially: Christie and his aligned super political action committee reported having $4.4 million in the bank entering January.  He and his PAC spent $14.4 million on ads in New Hampshire. An unreported but sizable amount was spent in January, leaving him low on cash. His next to last performance in Iowa will not inspire fat cat donations.

Presidential candidates fashion study: Tracking word usage online, “Christie is #4, the overall winner was Donald Trump. Clinton tops the off-the-rack category, and when it comes to both presidential style and prêt-à-porter, Sanders trails Clinton by only a tiny margin.” (Obviously this is important news.)

Comments (6)

  1. vmars

    It’s more than the idea that advocates want $10M more in the budget. The legislature PASSED a $10M allocation to address lead paint, and Christie vetoed it.

    Last month, after Flint was public.

    http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/01/christie_vetoes_10m_fund_to_remove_lead_paint_from.html

    Reply
  2. CreedPogue

    I like Wiz a lot but trying to portray a first place finish for Hillary as a “loss” is just spin and showing the emptiness of the “expectations game.” Unless of course, Sanders people want to say anything short of the current 60/40 split would be a “loss” for them? 🙂

    The over/under analysis does ignore that the Democratic caucus isn’t a popular vote contest versus state “delegate equivalents.”

    Seriously though, it is going to be very interesting to see the results from the GOP clown car.

    Reply
    1. Rosi Efthim

      First place by two-tenths of a percent still first place, but it’s also a generous and pretty self-serving way to look at it. Iowa was a virtual tie. They come out of Iowa with the same number of earned delegates, minus one on the Sanders side. And given that Clinton was ahead 40-50 points, doesn’t have a super PAC, and has vastly more contributors than Clinton, Iowa was a pretty good night for the Sanders campaign.

      Though, if I’m Hillary Clinton, proclaiming herself the winner before a big chunk of the precincts were in, and telling everybody with a camera I’m the winner is a strategy I can understand. She sure did need that “win”.

      Reply
      1. CreedPogue

        “same number minus one”??? No spin there!

        If you feel ready to call the win, then call the win.

        But, we have seen too many very close elections in New Jersey (we lost a township committee seat by four votes in November for example) to try to say that “virtual ties” are meaningful.

        Like I said before, if Hillary closes the gap, there won’t be any Sanders supporters like you or Wiz saying that was a “moral victory.” Then it will be, a win is a win is a win. Which is fine. The spin is just amusing though.

        Reply
  3. Bill Orr (Post author)

    Creed,
    You are making a mountain out of a molehill.

    Reply
  4. CreedPogue

    If I was seriously annoyed or even truly concerned, then you would know it. I just think the pretense of neutrality is very funny.

    Reply

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