deciminyanDecember 20, 2012UncategorizedChris Christie, Cory Booker, featured, Frank Lautenberg, Rob Andrews, Senate
NBC is is reporting that Cory Booker will run for the Senate seat occupied by Frank Lautenberg. Of course, Lautenberg hasn’t said he’s not running. But Cory Booker is no Rob Andrews.
Updated by Interested Observer: Mayor Booker posted this video about his decision
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is probably making some interesting New Year’s resolutions right about now.
And I did.
Is Barbara Buono going to run unopposed as the formerly small-d democratic Somerset County Democratic Organization assumes or will the bosses find someone to run against her? Since the Building and Construction Trades are going to be supporting Christie in part or total, I think that it is safe to assume that Steve Sweeney is not going to run.
Who’s left for the bosses to back? Chris Bollwage (aka Jim McGreevey Lite if it is possible to be more of a lightweight tool of the political machines than he was) would be a Peter Shapiroesque sacrificial lamb candidate unless Murray Sabrin decides to do to Christie II what he did to Christie I, although it does not appear that there will be a galvanizing issue like late term abortions that would make another cannibalizing independent run possible unless Christie II is serious about having a national discussion about violence. Bill Pascrell and Frank Pallone could be more serious challengers and could parlay a narrow loss to Christie next year into an enhanced ability to compete with Booker in 2014.
While it is not necessarily likely, I still think that Bob Menendez could clear the field as part of a statewide Democratic unity effort whereby Barbara Buono becomes his LG, which would have value, because Menendez could run for President in 2016 if he beat Christie next year, Steve Sweeney replaces Menendez in the Senate, Dick Codey becomes Senate President, and Lou Greenwald becomes Assembly Speaker. However, if this is going to happen, I think that it needs to be done before the end of the year so that Buono can shift gears and run for re-election to her State Senate seat next year.
Sweeney vs. Christie would be an all out war.A nasty,nasty election.
But is it a war that can be won?
If Sweeney runs he will easily beat Buono or that has been Codey.
The key is money. Christie will have a lot of money .Sweeney would have to match him dollar for dollar and that would be difficult.
Sweeney has a lot to lose by running since he would have to give up his seat in the Senate.
But if he can get the money he can make it a very close race.
By trying to discredit me personally you actually endorse my comments.
I am right, many of you are wrong. Sweeney,if he wants the nomination will get the nomination. That is the political fact.
But I do appreciate all of you ” haters” who attack me personally.
Now when you begin to attack my viewpoints, maybe then we can have an open and honest discourse.
Sweeney says he won’t announce a decision until afer New Year’s.
But I think the longer Buono is the only one in the field, the more tempted Codey will be to get in.
Menendez ain’t happening. If for no other reason than he just had a double dose of scandal.
The bosses can give their candidate the line, but they can’t get the rank and file to vote for him. Rank and file Democrats don’t want DINO Steve Sweeney. Either Buono or Codey would kick his ass.
And he’d be the worst candidate to put up in the general election because thousands of Democrats, including myself, and independents who lean Democrat, would never vote for him.
Your toadyism of Steve Sweeney is so embarrassing to read that it’s actually inspired an actual entire parody persona. And still you soldier on. It’s not offensive that you do this, but it’s so entirely unconvincing and awkward. One wonders at the more rewarding things you could dedicate your life to …
…is not going to run for Governor next year.
He is not going to give up his Senate seat and Presidency just so he can lose to Buono or Codey or Christie (especially since he cannot count on the full-throated support of the Building and Construction Trades). He is going to run for re-election next year. He will probably run for Senate in 2014, primarily to enhance his statewide profile, lose to Cory Booker or Frank Lautenberg or Frank Pallone, and then run for Governor in 2017 and lose in the primary election to whatever Democrat runs against him.
Sweeney will never win an election that George Norcross cannot rig for him. I wonder if between now and 2014, Norcross will give him a degree from Rowan University so that he doesn’t have to be the first person in the history of our state to run for the Senate who did not have a college education.
…I would be surprised if Buono and Codey wind up as the only two candidates in the race or that both would remain if there is another candidate running against them who is backed by the bosses. I think that it still comes down to an establishment candidate versus either Buono or Codey.
I think that Buono would be better served if she allowed Codey to be the insurgent standard-bearer, so that she could run for re-election and be his running mate, which would position herself to run for Governor in 2017 if they lose. She is 59 now and would be 63 four years from now. She looks about 10-15 years younger than her chronological age, so waiting 4-8 years should not be a problem for her. This would also enable John McKeon to move up to the State Senate possibly create an opportunity for the Morris County Democrats to elect an Assemblyperson next year.
I did not think that this intern issue would be that big of a deal for Menendez, but I guess that it could become a bigger deal if he puts himself out there for a gubernatorial run, so you are probably right about that as well.
Who does that leave as the establishment standard-bearer? Chris Bollwage? Bill Pascrell, Jr.? Frank Pallone? If the bosses want a sacrificial lamb to feed Christie, they will probably get behind Bollwage. If they want to run someone competitive, they will get behind Pascrell or Pallone.
I think that firstamend07 has to be on the Norcross payroll. No one would embarrass herself/himself as much as s/he does without some kind of compensation or remuneration.
I know that I tend to go out on a limb with my speculations, but if nothing else, they are a thought exercise geared towards enabling us all to better anticipate what our elected officials and party leaders are doing behind our backs to make out party and our state less progressive, not more.
If not cash, I cannot imagine what toady07 gets out of her/his efforts, because they tend to do more harm to his cause than good.
Greenwald could be it. Pallone wouldn’t be the bosses’ choice. Pascrell would be a compromise choice for all sides.
He will win. You make the assumption that every democrat is as well informed as yourself, unfortunately they are not. Most walk into a voting booth and just go straight down the party line…it’s an unfortunate and sad truth.
Than his efforts are worthwhile, no? There have been plenty of unnamed individuals on this website who have by both of your definitions “embarrassed themselves” by oddly and agressively promoting one candidate. If you hate Sweeney then outline why he is a poor candidate, a “DINO”, and shouldn’t be nominated. But it lacks class, at least in my opinion, to hurl insults and suggest another user has a “sad” life because of what they write here.
At least not in the suburbs.
And primaries tend to bring out the more ideologically committed. Not the exactly the type who will be attracted to a self-described Reagan Democrat.
Bergen County. Made up almost entirely of suburban towns and the primary voters here consistently have voted down the line…I literally can’t think of a single line backed candidate who has lost a primary election in Bergen….And more than anything else, it has been my experience that primaries, especially in non-presidential years, bring out seniors more than anything else.
is a high profile race that can’t be compared to local races. In the presence of TV advertising and higher interest, the line is less important.
There just isn’t any empirical data to prove that has any impact though. Like I said before, you can’t assume every primary voter is as educated as yourself or most of the users on this site. I would love to see Buono hammer Sweeney, Bollwage, or whomever the bosses ultimately decide to put up…I would just be very very surprised. Can you think of any major upset in a governor’s primary in the last 20 years? I can’t really, because in NJ the bosses literally control who gets nominated and who loses. The only time I could see there being an exception would be if a very high profile figure were to run and be denied the line. Or someone rich enough to put $20 million into a primary race.
…who has been influenced by toady07. If anything, her/his prattle has probably turned readers against Norcross and Sweeney. I think that Rosi was just being kind in her assessment of her/his efforts and many, if not most, if not all, of us here know that s/he has (or would like to have) some kind of paid/unpaid role in the Norcross political machine and is either writing what s/he writes at the machine’s behest or in an effort to prove her/his value to the machine.
Call me classless if you will, but I think that s/he is pathetic and there is no need to waste time detailing Sweeney’s faults as they are self-evident, but even if they weren’t, I have already argued why he is not running, so there is no need to argue why he will lose if he does run. If I am wrong about this and he does run, his candidacy will say more about why he shouldn’t be Governor than I can.
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