Will They Still Love Him Next November?

Governor Christie has announced he will run for re-election in 2013, saying, “I’m in this for the long haul,” which might mean only until one or two years before the next presidential election. Nonetheless, he has entered the fray.

Following Hurricane Sandy, the polls have shown a dramatic increase in support for Governor Christie. In a Fairleigh Dickinson poll respondents on an approval/disapproval question gave Christie 77% “approval” and 16% “disapproval.” Using a broader-based ranking scheme, 28% said he was doing an “excellent job,” 42% said a “good job,” 21% said “fair,” and  7% said “poor.”

Today’s Rutgers-Eagleton poll shows 67% of respondents have a favorable impression of him and 25% have an unfavorable impression. On the broader scale for rating his job performance from “A” through “F,” he received 28% for “A,” 33% for “B,” 22% for “C,” 11% for “D,” and 5% for “F.” The two polls yield fairly similar results and testify to his current popularity.

It’s probably difficult to impossible to maintain such a high level of approval. Even before Sandy he projected a wildly unrealistic increase in state revenue which has not materialized. He will have to make unpopular cuts in the current and next budget to accomodate reduced revenue and increased expenses. He will face pitfalls in the Sandy reconstruction effort. The positions he takes on the Affordable Care Act, Supreme Court appointments, and social issues will have an impact. His big mouth, temper and nastiness may return.

The question remains, “Will they still love him next November?” And if not, “Why not?” Let us know what you think.

Comments (15)

  1. deciminyan

    The first thing reporters should ask him is whether he intends to serve a complete second term. This is important because if Christie decides to make a run for the White House, New Jersey inherits a Lieutenant Governor with lots of ethical baggage. Will decisions that Christie makes be more geared toward his presidential ambitions and less toward the interests of New Jerseyans? (examples: his unilateral withdrawl from RGGI, his unilateral killing of the ARC tunnel and its tens of thousands of NJ jobs and infrastructure investment)

    Voters need to know.

  2. 12mileseastofTrenton

    But he’ll remain the favorite.

  3. A New Jersey Farmer

    Why take the chance this year? Go for Lautenberg’s seat in 2014.

  4. 12mileseastofTrenton

    Christie 53  Booker  35

    57-30 over Codey

    61-23 over Buono

    62-21 over Wisnewski

    62-20 over Greenwald


  5. CarvedNStoneDem

    ” His big mouth, temper and nastiness may return.” Of course it will, he’s a 12 year old, he can’t help himself.

  6. Bill Orr (Post author)

    See Matt Friedman’s article today: Post-Sandy polling won’t carry Christie to re-election. The governor’s top political advisor Michael DuHaime acknowledged “re-election is not assured in a state where Democrats hold a sizable advantage over Republicans among registered voters.”  Assemblyman Joe Cryan, a former State Democratic Chair, said, “It may be a blue state, but it requires a unified Democratic Party to have any sort of chance at unseating the governor. Right now, the Democratic Party is anything but united, both by geography and philosophy.”


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