The new Monmouth University poll of 647 likely voters from October 22 to 25, 2010 shows an even closer race in NJ6:
Incumbent Democrat Frank Pallone holds a 7 point lead over Tea Party-backed Republican Anna Little, 52% to 45%, according to the Monmouth University Poll. A poll taken three weeks ago found the incumbent ahead by a 53% to 41% margin among likely voters in this district.
“Anna Little’s gains have come from a tremendous grassroots effort in her home region of Monmouth County. Frank Pallone will need to bet on a strong turnout in more Democratic areas of this district to fend off this challenge,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.
Pallone has an identical 52-45 lead among the 7% who have already voted by mail. The President’s job approval rating is 45-48 among the NJ6 likely voters.
As I understand the outcomes of polling, I can still safely predict Pallone will win since he is up by seven and above 50% with a week to go. But you’d be best off helping Pallone, Holt, Rothman, and our other Representatives than counting on probability. I think it’s safe to say we’ll get a close poll for Rush Holt later in the week. Sign up here to volunteer for Pallone.