New polls show that polls are all over the place

Over the past few weeks, there have been a number of partisan polls that showed a substantial narrowing of the gap in the Governor’s race.  We saw polls by Rick Shaftan and Democracy Corps (twice) showing a 2 point Corzine lead, a 2 point Christie lead and a 5 point Christie lead.  We saw a Rasmussen poll showing an 8 point Christie lead but didn’t include Independent Chris Daggett – someone who has been polling between 7 and 10% in other polls.

So I was hoping that we would get some clarity when the less partisan polls were released – maybe, just maybe to get a handle on where the race really is headed.


Two new polls out today show that the polls are all over the road (just like Christie when he takes his girlfriend, I mean, “close friend and coworker/subordinate” (and wife and kids of course) out for a drive….)  First, there is a FDU poll with a 5 point Christie lead – however, this doesn’t include any polling for Daggett as a choice.  This is down from a 6 point deficit in the last poll back in June.

And then there is a Quinnipiac poll showing a 10 point Christie lead, up from 9 in early August.

I’m not even going to bother analyzing the underlying metrics in terms of the other questions, because at this point, I think it is pretty safe to say that nobody knows what the hell is going on with the polls other than Christie still leads but by less than a few months ago.

Or not, depending on what poll you look at.

Comment (1)

  1. Hopeful

    the problem is that Corzine is around 40%.  You can tell me 39 or 42, but it’s close to 40.  That story is consistent.  


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