New polls show that polls are all over the place

Over the past few weeks, there have been a number of partisan polls that showed a substantial narrowing of the gap in the Governor’s race.  We saw polls by Rick Shaftan and Democracy Corps (twice) showing a 2 point Corzine lead, a 2 point Christie lead and a 5 point Christie lead.  We saw a Rasmussen poll showing an 8 point Christie lead but didn’t include Independent Chris Daggett – someone who has been polling between 7 and 10% in other polls.

So I was hoping that we would get some clarity when the less partisan polls were released – maybe, just maybe to get a handle on where the race really is headed.

Nope.

Two new polls out today show that the polls are all over the road (just like Christie when he takes his girlfriend, I mean, “close friend and coworker/subordinate” (and wife and kids of course) out for a drive….)  First, there is a FDU poll with a 5 point Christie lead – however, this doesn’t include any polling for Daggett as a choice.  This is down from a 6 point deficit in the last poll back in June.

And then there is a Quinnipiac poll showing a 10 point Christie lead, up from 9 in early August.

I’m not even going to bother analyzing the underlying metrics in terms of the other questions, because at this point, I think it is pretty safe to say that nobody knows what the hell is going on with the polls other than Christie still leads but by less than a few months ago.

Or not, depending on what poll you look at.

Comment (1)

  1. Hopeful

    the problem is that Corzine is around 40%.  You can tell me 39 or 42, but it’s close to 40.  That story is consistent.  

    Reply

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